"Quantumphysics"

~~~~ Requested by ♥Koala♥S>Unus |Trade.tf ~~~~

I appear to have a monopoly on pricing this hat, 3rd time in a row. MY GOD this was a pain. I hope youre happy Koala

The sales

Sale 1:

Sold for mangler (~400?) + ★ Gut Knife | Doppler (~100-120?)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25912257

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094114508?time=1438326000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094114508?time=1438505510 after

Dunno bout the csgo item [could research it] but Im not even gonna try to evaluate the mangler. Over the past few months, all painted manglers have been offered around on hightier hats around the ~400 key mark, and I know one of them (Quite sure it was the BaF one) sold for a RA law (~400) when it was still in date.

The knife:★ Gut Knife | Doppler was sold here:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26573088

No specific BO, but it listed 95 as 'co', as well as knifes worth 120 (Id have to take his word theyre worth that much), and ~130 in hats.

400 may be decently close for the mangler, but as far as ive followed them, they have sales all over the place, mainly resulting in people now suddenly having BOs of 1000 on hats worth ~300-500, claiming they 'paid 1000'. Not gonna use this sale here, but its probably ~500 ish

Sale 2:

Sold + aces crown oto kingdom (~170) + DP crown oto kingdom (~135) for (massduped) burning hazmat

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26918736

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063098220?time=1441266104 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063098220?time=1441436400 after

The sweets were involved, but have a neglectible value compared to the whole sale, so Im ignoring them. Very difficult to mini the hazmat

It was tried here:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55d89100b98d88454a8b4642

This was with the gifted half (or part actually, its massduped) of the hat. This may very well have been the only usable recent sale on the hazmat. Perhaps this can be used to update the hazmat as the clean one hasnt sold in years.

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Sale 3:

This is a tricky one, but it seems to have been sold for:

- Duped beams tower http://backpack.tf/item/282001833 (~130)

- Duped beams tossle http://backpack.tf/item/280652793 (~120)

- Burning hive minder http://backpack.tf/item/2845964654 (~155)

- Burning big country http://backpack.tf/item/3346652680 (~90)

- Sulphurous cold killer http://backpack.tf/item/1648098503 (~75)

- DbD stove pipe http://backpack.tf/item/3345507601 (~28)

Haxaw and Douchebag seem to exchange their hats (as friends, maybe broker?). It was really tricky to find out this sale.

Douches BP:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203068815?time=1442732400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203068815?time=1442818800 after

Haxaws BP:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010500057?time=1442732400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010500057?time=1442818800 after

Desertbuggys BP:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885?time=1442732400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885?time=1442830312 after

Minis sale 3:

Mini duped beams tower:

Sold for duped burning SnS (~80*) + DbD metal drill (~26*) + S.f pro ks rocket launcher (~30) + haunted beep man (~7) + A steaming geezer (~11, it was resold for 10 pure + ~1 in sweets)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27063251 BO 130

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037099955?time=1442602510 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037099955?time=1442646000 after

The SnS is duped and the metal drill is a year outdated, but even with that in mind, this sale should be at or close to its BO of 130 keys

Taking 130

Mini duped beams tossle:

Sold for ggjr tipped lid (~95) + blizz hwnn (~25) + sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27135525 BO 120

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033378852?time=1443337200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033378852?time=1443423600 after

Histories [showing outpost histories as bptf didnt register all exchanges]

Tossle: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4168009400,150,5

Lid: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4167164940,30425,5

HWNN: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4163410829,631,5

For more info, see: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/560b3d59dea9e90f2719628c

95+25 = ~120

After the trade itself, Weird Douchebag resold the tossle quickly at a BO of 107 (but I cant find out the exact sale:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27088256

Either way, the value of 120 would come very close to how much pure he valued the hat at in the trade, after overpay will be applied in the main sale.

Taking 120

Mini hive minder:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56147b1cb98d881149cc1af5 ~150-160

Taking 155

Mini burning country (+ sulph CK)

Both sold + a scorching broadband (~35) for a burning yellow belt (~200)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124846866?time=1442744825 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124846866?time=1442818800 after

The MYB was exchanged for a duped sparkle luger, which explains why it doesnt appear

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033925422?time=1442762294 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033925422?time=1442818800 after

Also explains why buggy's burning belt disappears in the KE trade.

The CK is ~75 (just in-date)

Which leaves 200-75-35 (= ~90) for the burning country)

Main point here is that the CK + country have selling potential ~165

taking 75/90

Mini DbD stove

Jeez foamy stop being lazy, using a BO.. pffft

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27154418 BO 28 (seller is the one that received it in this sale)

Taking 28

SO!

0.9*(~130+120+155+75+90+28) = ~540

-> 540 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for scorching casemaker (~215) + scorching triboniophorus (~110) + flies swagman (~233) + eerie juju (~40) + PE blokes bucket (~33) + sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27086796

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885?time=1443604610 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885?time=1443682800 after

Minis sale 4:

Mini casemaker:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/561488a0dea9e970374ac09c ~215 after overpay, 1 sale

Taking 215

Mini tyrannus:

Sold for duped scorching drill (~110)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072464377?time=1438694538 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072464377?time=1438758000 after

Mini drill:

BO's ~110

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27121147

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27068546

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27175785 got offered scorching slick (which is duped, outdated and overpriced @195), but is likely still able to pull 110+

Taking 110

Mini Juju:

No recent usable sales. No recent clean sales as well. Gonna go with the last usable sale that happened on it (as it will definitely be more accurate than using a year+ outdated clean value)

sold + Festive rocketlauncher (~1) for pro aussie sniper (~40 ish at that time)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025208249?time=1428649200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025208249?time=1428749838 after

6 months ago, but eh, closest I can get I guess

Taking ~40

Mini bucket:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/561491adba8d88a923a41c9e ~33

Taking 33

SO!

Overpay done in the casemaker mini. Swagmans recent suggestion was based on a single full-pure sale. No overpay there either

0.9*(110+40+33) + 233 + 215 = ~610

-> 610 keys

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You have no idea how much time that took me. GG, Im out. [JK Im not, I went doing this request while in the middle of something which I need to finish as well]

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3