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~18 keys
p.fetti
Unusual Combustible Kabuto Purple Confetti
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I know this isn't outdated, but a bunch of sales just happened


(Translation, I spent hours making this and realized it was updated recently)


sale #1

sold for a Haunted Ghosts Attendant


bp before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045041209?time=1443008413

bp after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045041209?time=1443078000


mini for sale #1

Haunted Ghosts Attendant

sold for 48 keys pure


bp before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039006400?time=1441782000

bp after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039006400?time=1441954800


MATH TIME for sale #1

48*0.9=x


x=43


================================================================


sale #2

sold for a Purple Energy Barnstormer


bp before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657?time=1443769200

bp after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657?time=1443855600


mini for sale #2

Purple Energy Barnstormer

sold for a [b]Haunted Ghosts Rimmed Raincatcher and a Cloud 9 Katyusha


bp before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083128849?time=1442372721

bp after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083128849?time=1442732400


micro for Haunted Ghosts Rimmed Raincatcher

sold alongside a Strange Sapper and a Specialized Killstreak Spycicle for a Scorching Flames Sober Stuntman


bp before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125789695?time=1441263600

bp after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125789695?time=1441350000


MATH TIME for micro

x+0.9(*2)=42*0.9

x+~2=38


x=36


MATH TIME for mini #2

x=36+0.9*(18.5)

x=36+~17


x=53


==================================================================


going with a range of 43-53. counter evidence or any adjustments are welcome

    I should also note that the sale in the previous suggestion is now too old to use

      http://backpack.tf/item/3601466599 - Added in sale #2; the names may not match, but the ID #s do


      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27010840 - Kabuto was offered in sale #1 with 25 keys


      http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657?time=1443078000 - 4 keys visible in their backpack, they bought the Spec Aussie Wrench with the rest


      http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083800515?time=1443078000 - The rest of the keys wind up here


      Again, looking at item ID# as opposed to names in the history, it looks like 26 of the 29 keys match.

        As indicated, there are some issues with this