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Those classified listings are overkill for this
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26898976 3.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26757606 3.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27204008 2.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27138158 3.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27187107 Sold 1 for 3 (The third one hasn't sold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27188872 3.00 (The one that isn't blanked out has sold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27129885 Sold 2 for 3.00 (2nd and 3rd ones)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27192739 1x 2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26877849 2.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26580783 3.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27199542 3.00
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27195846 2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27185600 2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27201368 2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27192739 4x 2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27205349 2.55
Unsolds for 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27184426 3d
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27199003 1d
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27197423 1d
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27193384 2d
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27098596 2w
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27190844 2d
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27187107 x2, 3d
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27188872 3d (The one that's blanked out is the one in his inventory)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27129885 x4, 2w (The 5th and 6th haven't sold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27196386 1d
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27149355 1w
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27204200 Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27205333 Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27205330 Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27197953 2x, 1d
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27150032 1w
Classifieds
Sell Orders (Overkill much)
https://gyazo.com/953e7824a25d29f7824d5ebc54cb4b4a 1x 2.55, 4x 2.66
https://gyazo.com/38a988424f63f4469f76c94546a25319 5x 2.66
https://gyazo.com/52b869e570491d6c493e27a92f0c41fe 3x 2.66, 3x 2.77
https://gyazo.com/7effe2630a8cb881244c5563e2f28374 4x 2.77 (Merndy has no luck selling these, I figure)
https://gyazo.com/894a863b9b02c8921769b89da05bdf29 4x 2.77, 1x 2.88
https://gyazo.com/20df3a3fd6465704ff0bbe37265c8d6d 5x 2.88
https://gyazo.com/3a03a4f0d64331acbab32b67bc9136f7 5x 2.88
https://gyazo.com/489fd55cf96ec490c8b0b723a9c3c240 5x 2.88
https://gyazo.com/2136929e820d5f03ed53393ad9eb00a1 6x 2.88
https://gyazo.com/c79c7a9225e018e4ca12ec096db1f706 4x 2.88
https://gyazo.com/d13327ab65e47add4ad91b31fd1a1b7f 1x 2.94, 4x 3.00
I'm not including the rest of the 3 ref sellers
Buyers
https://gyazo.com/fbb0e0d9f343f43d4bde307da6bd41ea 2x 2.66
Quicksold mine for 2.88 refined in an hour a few days back:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27170702
Screenshot of the trade history:
http://m.imgur.com/X2BJ116
Sale @2.66
http://prntscr.com/8pre4q
2.66 sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27192739
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27129885
3.00 Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26580783
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27199542
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26898976
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26757606
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27138158
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27188872
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27188872
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27187107
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27129885
Given that you have 9+ sales @3 ref & 4 sellers at 2.66 with 2 sales at 2.66 it may imply that 2.66 is a quicksell.
Staying neutral.
But with plenty available for 2.88 and lower, it HAS to be factored in the range.
Doesn't however change the fact that the number of sales provided outnumbers sellers below 2.88
Classifieds also plays a part, 12 at 2.66 on classies, 7 on outpost for 2.66
9 sales at 3
9 vs 19
11 at 2.77
TWENTY SIX AT 2.88 <--------------
aka 9 at 3 ref vs 56 at 2.88 and lower
Outnumbered seems a bit farfetched there, son, might want to take into consideration that Outpost isn't the only trading site
Edit: Now I just realised you LITERALLY repasted my proof, calling it counter proof? What the hell kind of logic is that? That's not counter proof, that's organising my proof >.>
That's showing some of the proof you have slightly counters your suggestion .
But the rest of the proof I have counters your "counter proof"
I've also included the sales in the range, why do you think 3 is still there