"Terror-trouble"

Helping out anther suggester that bought this hat. He's right, it needs a raise, but 60 is too high. Credits to SHIA | Hexotonic | Married <3 for sale 5

The sales

Sale 1:

Sold for phos panama (~31) + 4 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175647066?time=1441522800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175647066?time=1441609200 after

0.9*31 +4 = 32

-> 32 keys

Sale 2:

Bulk sale unusual stickybomb launcher

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058505702?time=1443839577 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058505702?time=1443942000 after

Should not be used for this

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Sale 3:

Sold for aces pirate bandana (~17) + KaW stuntman (~16)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27174331

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085269574?time=1443994322 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085269574?time=1444028400 after

Mini stuntman

Sold + V.tyrannus (~1) for logo SnS (~17)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122872975?time=1442687287 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122872975?time=1442732400 after

17-1 = 16

Taking 16

0.9*(17+16) = ~30

-> 30 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for MWW oblooterated (~26) + ~11 keys in collectors stuff + 1 key worth of strange sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27180125

B:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164520154?time=1443942000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164520154?time=1444244084 after

S:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029332299?time=1443942000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029332299?time=1444165518 after

0.9*(26+11+1) = ~35

-> 35 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for aces bonk + MN oiled baker (~19)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27195859 BO 40

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074924284?time=1444283939 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074924284?time=1444287600 after

I cant find any recent sales on the aces bonk without premium (at least no clean sales that do not involve scammers)

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55cac30fba8d882d3b8b45a9 judging by this suggestion, the value would need a drop (although neither of these sales are suitable for pricing the bonk.

Even with the low-end sale it would almost be allowed to cap at the BO of 40, but here one has been offered 45:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27035809

Offer was hidden by the offerer though. Using the average of the suggestion from 2 months ago, it would be allowed to cap at the BO of 40.

-> 40 keys

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Sales at 30, 32, 35 and 40

Sales are fairly evenly spread. Gonna make a range with all sales.

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3