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"Just checking"
Capping a sale at a buyout; rather be sure I can actually do so
The sales
Sale 1:
Sold for eerie tam (~21) + Spec ks collectors claid(~5) + buds (~3) + 7 pure
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934?time=1443050231 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934?time=1443078000 after
0.9*(21+5) +3 + 7 = ~33
-> 33 keys
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Sale 2:
Sold for 17 pure?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26856187 seems to have had a BO of 23
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934?time=1442905200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934?time=1443050231 after
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Sale 3:
Sold for gifted aussie medi gun (~29):
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127510632?time=1440257347 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127510632?time=1440313200 after
The added killstreak should somewhat make up for the fact that its gifted.
0.9*29 = ~26
-> 26 keys
====================================================================================================
Sale 4:
Sold + beams salty for scorching fukaa
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076645019?time=1439703257 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076645019?time=1439794800 after
Should not be used for this
====================================================================================================
Sale 5:
Complex deal involving ~7 hats
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105005562?time=1441782000 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105005562?time=1442041200 after
Complex sale, not using
====================================================================================================
Sale 6:
Sold + S.f medgun for MG rebel
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081545518?time=1441644254 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081545518?time=1441868400 after
Was used for pricing the rebel
====================================================================================================
Sale 7:
Sold for professional killstreak aussie knife (~30)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022430252?time=1441465862 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022430252?time=1441522800 after
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4106681232,194,11 history matches
-> 30 keys
====================================================================================================
Sale 8:
Upgrade to beams haven
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008950081?time=1440745200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008950081?time=1440831600 after
Should be used for the haven, but it was recently updated. Would be low compared to the other sales on the haven. Therefore it'll be a high outlier here
====================================================================================================
The seller that ended up selling it for 17 initially had a buyout of 30, and seems to have lowered it later on. Since literally all sales (including what he bought it for) are above the last buyout he has had, Im calling it a low outlier, especially since his other trade suggests he has changed his buyout on the way.
Going for 26-33
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3