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Recent topics: trading, the state of the economy and the Unitary Operator in Hilbert-Space.
☛ Sale #1:
Sold for a Vivid Plasma Das Maddendoktor (65 Keys) + 1 Key = 65 * 0.9 + 1 = 60 Keys
However, the B/O was 55 Keys, capping this sale at 55 Keys.
Proof of B/O: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27028088
Screenshot Proof: http://imgur.com/VPo3maa
Inventory of buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140878064?time=1442214000 (Sept. 14th)
Inventory of buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140878064?time=1442300400 (Sept. 15th)
Comparison of before and after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140878064?time=1442214000&compare=1442300400
Note: You will see there is a difference between the bp.tf comparison of before and after and the screenshot proof, leading to an apparent contradiction. The Maddendoktor was not registered in the inventory of the buyer prior to the purchase, which is evidenced through the lack of a chronological index for the buyer in the history of the Das Maddendoktor.
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☛ Sale # 2: [VOID]
Sold for a Stormy 13th Hour Doctor's Sack (mini unavailable)*
Inventory of buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073919381?time=1441436400 (Sept. 5th)
Inventory of buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073919381?time=1442300400 (Sept. 15th)
Comparison of before and after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073919381?time=1441436400&compare=1442300400
*No recent sales of the 1/2 Stormy 13th Hour Doctor's Sack are independent of the sale of the Titanium Pillar of Hats. None are currently on the market for further comment.
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☛ Sale #3: [VOID]
Sold for a Stormy 13th Hour Doctor's Sack (mini unavailable)* + Harvest Moon Hetman's Headpiece (50 Keys) + Blizzardly Coup D'isaster (10 Keys)
Screenshot Proof: http://imgur.com/ULIT56S
Inventory of buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073919381?time=1438066800 (July 28th)
Inventory of buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073919381?time=1439881200 (August 18th)
Comparison of before and after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073919381?time=1438066800&compare=1439881200
*No recent sales of the 1/2 Stormy 13th Hour Doctor's Sack are independent of the sale of the Titanium Pillar of Hats. None are currently on the market for further comment.
Note: Yet another apparent contradiction. The Steel Toe was not involved in the trade and the Coup D'iasaster does not show up in the inventory of the buyer. Nonetheless, this is easily resolved with the screenshot evidence.
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Mini for Blizzardly Storm Coup D'isaster
Pure Sale - Sold for 10 Keys
Proof: http://imgur.com/MJcXjtd
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Conclusion:
Sale #2 and sale #3 cannot be used to price the Pillar as one is a subset of the other with a significant price difference in between. Consider the fact that the Pillar was sold for the Doctor's Sack alongside 60 Keys in Unusuals in sale #3 (Harvest moon Hetman's Headpiece + Blizzardly Storm Coup D'isaster), whereas it was sold 1:1 for the Doctor's Sack in sale #2. Clearly, these sales are inconsistent with one another and one cannot claim to be representative. As such, these sales will be disregarded.
With sales #2 and #3 being invalid, the final price will be determined by sale #1 at 55 Keys.
http://backpack.tf/item/1208400874
Possibly a doctor's sack sale here?
That particular Doctor's Sack has a Specialized Killstreak Kit applied to it. Don't think it would add too much value, but the sale might be slightly skewed North due to that. Either way, it really shouldn't matter too much in the context of this price suggestion since sale #2 and sale #3 are invalid.
It's unclear, so no big deal: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033307559?time=1438066800&compare=1438239600
From my experience, I've never seen any skew on a sale due to spec KS. In fact, I remember seeing a pro. KS GE TC sell for like ~360 keys, lol. Don't think it's a big deal.
The items which were removed from the inventory of the seller were then restored to the inventory. Is there any common explanation for this occurrence or is it more of an anomaly?
If you're seeing what I'm seeing (the same items being put into the "Removed" row and the "New Items" row) that's a pretty common occurrence. I don't think the bp history is properly updating.
Taking a look at the buyer's bp: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044173477?time=1436943600&compare=1441004400
There's no clear sale here, and no possible mini as such. :P
Doesn't really matter with the sack sales. In situations where an item gets traded back and forth between the same two people, we usually don't use those sales for a variety of reasons. The 60 key difference between the buying and selling price shows why it wouldn't be used here.