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Revisit!
Sale #1:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26980963 ~ http://i.imgur.com/qRPPrYA.png
Sold for Terror-Watt Mancer (52*) + GE Phantom (60) + MN Chapeau (38*) + OF Wraith Wrap (25*) + Pro Aussie Axtinguisher (~10) + ~7 in other items
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042251117?time=1442646000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042251117?time=1443250800
(52 + 60 + 38 + 25 + 10 + 7) * 0.9 = 172.8; rounded to 170 keys
Kinda rough values, but it should be pretty close.
Sale #2:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26909021
Quick-sold in a day for 140 keys
Sale #3:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26890546
Sold with 155 CS:GO Keys + 55 TF2 keys (~210 keys together) for Showstopper Conga
It's a little hard to say what the Conga goes for now, but this sale supports a higher value for the Crone's.
Sale #4:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/561c6fe9ba8d88bc1ea41f59
It also apparently sold for a Burning Towering, which given the quicksell at 140 is probably an outlier or the Towering is undervalued.
Or just "massive overpay in massed flies".
Terror-Watt Mancer:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26947677 Sold for Planets Crone's + 23 keys ~52 keys
MN Chapeau:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27143975 Sold for 38 keys
Oribiting Fire Wraith Wrap:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27125002 Sold for Aces Tyrantium + Purple Confetti Larrikin ~25 keys
My quicksale actually didn't sell for 140 pure.
Sold for 77 keys + Prof australium Black Box (which sold for 24 keys on SCM) + Gifted Australium Scatter (which sold for Prof S. F. Medigun (sold for 28) + 3 keys)
so 77 + (3 + 31) + (24) = 135 keys
Regardless, the burning Tower sale still may be too low.