"oh god, we're screwed"

~~~~ Requested by Mindacos ~~~~

Literally everyone that manages to sell this has had to QS it.

The sales

Sale 1:

Sold for 12 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26981978

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028408491?time=1440658800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028408491?time=1441609200 after

only 10 keys match, but 12 were offered. Assuming it was 12

-> 12 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for stormy YWN (~30)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26880076 BO was 24

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028408491?time=1440572400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028408491?time=1440658800 after

Would be 24 keys, seems high, and odd compared to what he sold it for.

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Sale 3:

Sold for 14 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081037946?time=1440361745 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081037946?time=1440486000 after

-> 14 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 13 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134652336?time=1440272062 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134652336?time=1440313200 after

-> 13 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 11 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26836405

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082493633?time=1440176216 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082493633?time=1440226800 after

-> 11 keys

Sale 6:

Some form of mass unu transfer

B:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088878793?time=1442732400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088878793?time=1442818800 after

S:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061836787?time=1442556838 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061836787?time=1442818800 after

Yea no

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Sale 7:

Bulk sale S13H private

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077572428?time=1439449200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077572428?time=1439571740 after

Shouldnt be used for this

===============================================================================================

All of the pure sales happened fast (~1-2 days). A significant amount of people have been trying to sell it for 15 and then decided to take less than that.

ALL on outpost (somehave been selling for 3 weeks) have no offers. A drop is clearly needed here.

Giving these sales:

11 QS

12 QS

13 QS

14 QS

24 (actually 27)

One could argue that all 4 low sales should be excluded and that I should go for 24 flat, but a raise makes no sense at all given the abundance of lower sales. Apparently everyone (except one person) wanted to part with this hat for ~11-14. The person selling it for the ywn ended up selling it for 12.

Quickbuyers pay 7-12 for this (most at 7/8, one at 10 and one at 12?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26818939 the person selling for 12 offered it here but clearly didnt sell it to him. Im guessing 12 is a mistake.

Based on these, Im going to put it at 14, conservatively. At the end of the QS chain, it was sold for 14, after which no succesful sales have happened for a while (until the ywn sale).

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3