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So this is going to be my first attempt at pricing an unusual that wasn't a all pure sale.
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I Bought it off of seller (Barst the Man) for a Sunbeams Harmburg and 19 keys pure.
Proof of deal:
My BP before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152878663?time=1444719600
My BP after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152878663?time=1444806000
Barst's before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025132482?time=1444633200
Barst's after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025132482?time=1444806000
Screenshot of completed trade: https://gyazo.com/9012dcff71b4a3aac98f4905acf13db7
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It sold for a duped scorching grimm hatte,5 keys were added to the GC in this trade:
Proof GC was offered: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27087745
Proof of trade: http://imgur.com/rUF6icY
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025132482?time=1443423600
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025132482?time=1443510000
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Time to do a mini!
Grimm is outdated at 170
One on OP (It is duped) asking for a PE Beak (outdated at 125)
Proof of trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/256165355
Proof of dupe: http://backpack.tf/item/757336987
PE Beak (none on the market)
Another on OP (clean) declined a C. Heart Heer's Helm + 40 pure keys (helm is unpriced and 1 of 1, but probably not worth more than 90)
Proof of offer: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26958863
Proof of clean: http://backpack.tf/item/1575888517
Another on OP (clean) asking 230 pure (only one with a pure B/O)
Proof of trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27134936
Proof of clean: http://backpack.tf/item/2736218589
Since no other duped scorching grimm sales were available I messaged someone else that sold it (polar) and this is what I got: https://gyazo.com/336c40c279ca31b542517c2dc1b87c66
He sold one for 140 pure here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25970443
And hat one with a B/O of 120, but got more in a bulk trade here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27112972
Range of 120-140 balances to 130
So the value of the duped scorching grimm is 130
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MATH TIME:
Clean Sunbeams Harmburg 114x.9=102.6 (overpay) 102.6+19= 121.6
Duped Scorching Grimm Hat 130-5=125 (added keys) GC offered on Grimm, so no overpay is needed.
Rounding for roundness 120-125
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Thanks for all the help Foamy and K1ng
Thought I'd throw this in to try and further the suggestion.
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Was offered ~125 and ~135 in unusuals on my OP trade.
Proof: https://gyazo.com/26978263973cefffe2c24e41d5eb669b
Link to the trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27231691#latest
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Offer 1:
Sunbeams Pom (~100) + Steaming Bonk Boy (~28) + Pro KS Luger (~9)
100+28+9=138
138x.9=124.2
Rounded to 125
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Offer 2:
G Fetti. Gibus (~130) + Stormy Fed Fighting (~19)
130+19=149
149x.9=134.1
Rounded to 135
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Everything offered is clean.
Looks good! Other sales can be used to price the Sunbeams Valley Forge and the Miami Law. I think i will check sales on the VF and see how it goes.
Upvote.