Sale 1

Sold for cloud 9 pirate bandana (33) and ~11 key sweets = (33 + 11) * 0.9 = 40 keys

Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031007256?time=1442473200 (September 17th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031007256?time=1442559600 (September 18th)

Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031007256?time=1442473200&compare=1442559600

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Sale 2

Sold for miami nights hat with no name (26-30) = 28 * 0.9 = 25 keys

Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079634422?time=1442127600 (September 13th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079634422?time=1442214000 (September 14th)

Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079634422?time=1442127600&compare=1442214000

• Mini on miami hat with no name:

  http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5620d1d4dea9e9c6774ac02c

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Seller:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27217947 30 keys, 4 days

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40 seems like an outlier to me based on current price, seller, and other sale. Going with 25 flat. Feedback welcome