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The hat used for the last suggestion is now duped ( http://backpack.tf/item/3904337645 http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3983715331,631,5 ) so no recent valid sale on that one.
A clean Vivid Plasma Hat with no name and a specialized Australium black box got bought recently for a duped Roboactive Hat with no name.
RA hwnn mini:
sold recently for Harvest Grenadier Softcap (74) + 40 keys pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27219967 (offer from MadDisabledKid)
the seller had a quicksell b\o of 90 keys and he took the offer as equivalent of 90 pure.
So the mini on the RA HWNN is 90.
aussie black box mini:
quote ApothicЯ aka PetitCœur previous owner of the bb
"got it a month unsold at 19 keys, got multiple times offered 18 pure, so not worth 20 keys
The australium black box is around 18-18.5 keys as I explained above.
So Vivid Hat with no name should be 90 = x + 18.25 -> x = 72 keys
thanks to ApothicЯ aka PetitCœur and Foamy the Fearsome for the help :P
I sold the vivid hwnn for sunbeams dapper + 15 keys. (~75)
proof: http://imgur.com/j87NbC3
buyer's bp. http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051455453?time=1444978800 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051455453
sunbeams dapper price is outdated and i can't get a recent sale for a mini on the dapper but here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27078202 there are an offer for 60 pure which is also the seller's b\o. It seems it will be sold within a week. (There are also other 2 offers for 50 pure and 55 pure). Don't know if this would be worth as much as a mini but is still a new, recent sale for the vivid hwnn within the price range suggested i thought it could strenghten the above said things.
Creds to CSn | Buck Rampant, found his comment on the bear suggestion:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5630260dba8d88c00aa94a96 Sold for RA bear (Sale 1 here)
Considered an "outlier" here based on its technically not-yet-outdated value. Bear value will be ~80 based on the suggestion, which would completely support 72 here