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12 monthes old price
Just bought this for 15 keys pure,
Hat is clean and only recent sale.
Proof:
https://gyazo.com/f3e14baa14e5afd3125d207d8416d03b
http://backpack.tf/item/601047387
Interesting how you would want to lower your own hat :P But anyway you need more sales, this one has some sales: http://backpack.tf/item/509805766
15 is too low and would be an outlier as this guy was offered 16 pure http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27111672
He never had the 16 keys
Sold for 14 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993719894?time=1443078000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993719894?time=1443164400
Sold for Bubbling Raincatcher (~10 Keys) + Sweets (~5 Keys) ~15 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077408118?time=1442905200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077408118?time=1442991600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27200709 - Quicksold for 14 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27316450 - Sold for 18 Keys (Has an offer of ~18 Keys as well)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27292660 - Sold for Stormy Baker + 3 Keys (Another offer at 16 Keys) ~20 Keys
This one is quite tricky. The market is really small and I don't think there's anymore available sales. I would probably do 18-20 Keys since offers show that it's quite easy to fetch 16.