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Resuggesting since I messed up my previous suggestion. Price has been outdated for a year.
Recent sales:
My sale last week: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27184612 (sold for an Overclocked Softcap + 8 keys)
Actual trade: http://i.imgur.com/zNbI48l.png, http://i.imgur.com/FrQIGhT.png
Overclocked cap is currently 39 keys (outdated price, recent suggestion here http://backpack.tf/vote/id/560dbccdb98d88ee27cc1ab8 for 25 to 27 keys), so using the recent suggestion the Terror-Watt cap is valued at 17 to 19 keys.
The buyer sold it almost immediately ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27110363 ) for a duped Bubbling Modest Pile of Hat valued at 26 to 28 keys http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Modest%20Pile%20of%20Hat/Tradable/Craftable/34 . Not sure if value should be lower since it's duped, but seems like the buyer didn't care. Gonna go with the high end for this suggestion (correct me if I'm wrong).
Bubbling modest hat: http://backpack.tf/item/1105069121
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This one looks like a sale: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27166423
Seller's bp before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095923370?time=1444806000
And after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095923370?time=1444892400
Current owner's bp before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110272840?time=1444806000
Hat only showed up 2 days later: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110272840?time=1445065200
Therefore I'm assuming it was sold to someone else who got rid of it immediately. But the item history as per Outpost shows that the item was transferred directly to the current owner so I'm confused about this one ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4184482232,227,5 )
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Unsolds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27224802 (offers, 6 days old; seems like he's had it for 6 months now: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25722324 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27228183 (32 keys, 5 days old old. This is the hat I sold, which the buyer then sold. Hat is no longer in his bp [ http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073880222 ] but I found it on the market: http://i.imgur.com/TR2tYgt.png )
Hopefully I didn't make too many mistakes with this resuggestion. Let me know if I should fix the price range.