Suggestion: Cloudy Moon Desert Marauder at 85 keys

Price Suggestion

~750 keys

moon

161 votes up

68 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was closed Tue, 17 Nov 15 16:27:10 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

Only usable sale, price is 10 months old. Due for a massive drop.

Traded 1:1 for a Hellfire Head Warmer.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019254407?time=1444633200 <- owner of head warmer, at the time of them owning it.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019254407?time=1444719600 <- same person, a couple days later. Exchanged 1:1

Price on the Head Warmer is 2 months fresh at 95 keys, 85.5 with overpay calculated, rounded to 85.

This was my first suggestion. Please tell me if I followed the rules appropriately.

EDIT: there were small sweets involved, the owner of the marauder also added his villains veil, and the owner of the hellfire added their sub-zero suit and another cosmetic.

EDIT 2: one on backpack.tf listings has a b/o of 144 pure, which is massively lower than the 220 it's currently priced at.

Ugh, this is really hard to judge if this is an outlier or not. This also traded with a scammer, so I don't know if it's valid from that too.

With your Edit 2 statement, the guy selling at 144 pure has a duped version of the desert marauder.

Also, this price fitting right between Bonzo and Arcana doesn't feel right, but that's just my opinion and just going to point it out to you.

Plus, this unusual is 1 of 5 (not counting the duped version) so I bet there are other sales out there that can either prove 85 to be an outlier or not, I am not bp.tf premium so I do not have the chance to get to the benefits of looking at the histories of the other unusuals.

For now, I'm staying neutral, but I would wait for a mod to clarify if this sale is an outlier or not.

No other sales.

Scammer isn't marked, reports are pending.

Ok well there you have it, thank you Ma-Genie.

So therefore, rip this unusual

Proof is sufficient, upvote.

You're right about the dupe though. I didn't look at the history, that's my fault.

To give you an indication of how this was priced last, the sales were:

- c9 brown bomber (currently ~57)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038829794?time=1397372400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038829794?time=1397631600

- Scorching larrikin +1 bud (~70 taking the bud at 20 or so, what they were valued at back then)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072914062?time=1394953200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072914062?time=1395126000

- Added 3 buds to a PE belt (probably unusable with old bud prices)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038829794?time=1396508400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038829794?time=1397026800

Mainly the bomber was probably valued a lot higher back then. The real kicker is, the suggestion missed the 3 buds involved, and presumed the PE yellow belt a low outlier back then, even without them. Given this info, the drop isnt as severe as it may seem

RIP owners of this hat

I feel bad downpricing it so low, the Marauder is my favorite hat in the game.

Dammit you stole my phrase

nice nice nice nice

Very nice proof. tfw ur bp drops by $200...

This is pretty close to Burning, and all the other higher Marauder's haven't been updated in a while. They might need some updating too.

Also, that one on the classies at 144 is duped (just realised you're aware of that now) - I could only find one trackable sale on that, and even then I'm unsure:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055468727?time=1440572400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055468727?time=1440658800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055468727?time=1440572400&compare=1440658800 - beams honcho? histories don't add up though

You just killed this hat mate :(

send some shots, gratata

duped sales should determine whether or not this sale is an outlier, comments aren't really making a whole lot of sense

added hearts baker+a ~50 key unu shotty for a beams mancer

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060850032?time=1441090800 (September 1st)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060850032?time=1441522800 (September 6th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060850032?time=1441090800&compare=1441522800

marauder offered: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26850239

163-40=123-50=73

jacob had a ~90 key sale

no duped or clean offers

yeah, this solidifies that 82 isn't an outlier here

Just to say the guy selling that mancer was really unsure to accept the desert on its own (as it was duped) so I had to add more to make him do the deal (by the way i'm the one who did that offer)

Owner of the 144 key dupe here. I sold this hat for the equivalent of 115 keys in credits on TF2WH within 2 hours of putting it up for sale. http://imgur.com/a/oNKWC

If you peep at the rest of the comments with sales around 80-85ish, your sale is practically an outlier with how much evidence there is against it.

Well, sales are really at 85, 90, and 115. The sale at 90 is the duped sale (1:1 for the beams honcho) Foamy mentions above. The other duped sale for a beams mancer is a complex sale and probably suggests that the mancer (which is valued the same as a PE mancer) is low.

A range of 85-115 should be okay here. When it sells again for 200, it can be repriced. If you make that suggestion, it will get accepted a lot faster than this one.

it should not drop alot of peopl just asking it to drop bc old price.

great counter point, I would resuggest but i feel like you'd do it MUCH more justice..

yes i own one But ive had alot of intrest people willing to pay good only thing detering it is this suggestion

im guess the only sales have been because it has not been in market Diffrence between selling and and swaping for unsuals you like i mean dam ive had someone wanting to offer a spell bound regelator + for it, a guy considering his scout load out pro ks aussie scatter, shorching milk, scream tiger battin a thousand + a few more lil items (pro ks vintage luger and genuine pro ks three ruine blade) i only had this hat for 6 hrs max at time of this post And myn is duped like this is realy invalid

no proof, no case.

I've put a reserve of 20 keys on a clean cloudy moon desert marauder, which in a month or so's time i'll be paying for in full pure with 200 keys. Considering I've reserved it and I'm already in the process of purchasing the keys to buy it, and taking into consideration the sale of the duped cloudy marauder for Warehouse credits at ~115, I think this suggestion would need a revision, or at the very least an extended price range. In any case, after the 200 pure sale is complete it'll be resuggested anyway.

You're paying too much, but fair enough.

Just showing a bp isnt enough proff insta down vote, looks loike a person who wants it off their friend for cheap

Correction: The only way to make a suggestion is to show a bp, unless you have a firsthand screenshot, which even I have rarely used. Please look at other passed suggestions before posting. Thanks!