HarryG is back killing his own backpack.

small valid unpainted market

https://gyazo.com/50743d9213c6d500483c9c5d5ccbd3fc

one seller at 13 (and two 13.6 sellers to support)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27217533

One of the 13.6 sellers from above (note how long it has been unsold)

Unsolds at 14

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27264608

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27249726

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27195536

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27228588 (Free paints)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27212898 (Free paint)

Multiple other painted unsolds at 14

seems painted is generally selling for 14 while its a struggle to sell unpainted at that price

Given the low market, I believe it should be fine to lower this to 13.