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Sale #1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27226392
sold for duped green energy conno cap ( http://backpack.tf/item/358274281 )
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068581129?time=1444546800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068581129?time=1444719600
price: 38 keys
conno cap mini
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27112210
sold with 7 keys in items for c9 drill hat and dbd liquidator's lid
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057720280?time=1443769200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057720280?time=1444114800
50*0.9 - 7 = 38
Sale #2
No trade listing
Sold for pro. aussie minigun
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173194325?time=1442818800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173194325?time=1442905200
Price: 30 keys
pro aussi minigun mini
http://puu.sh/kUmBc/69e053b476.png
Going with 30 since that seems to be the common trading point.
Not taking overpay since that is the minimum that you could sell it for.