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~73 keys
mallard
Unusual Professional's Panama Molten Mallard
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Got bored so I thought I would just do some low hanging fruit.


1 of 2, one hasn't sold since January (http://backpack.tf/item/3269115238)


Sale 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27023097 http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073742411?time=1443552604 to http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073742411?time=1445151600 Sold for a DBD Cold Killer, worth 39 keys


Final sale vale: 35 keys (After overpay)


Sale 2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27013154 http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132804631?time=1442086195 to http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132804631?time=1442086195 Sold for a Strange Festive Pro KS Rocket Launcher (http://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Professional%20Killstreak%20Festive%20Rocket%20Launcher/Tradable/Craftable) Which is 28 keys according to SCM, but leaving out because they identified it as a quicksale and had a 20 key B/O


Final sale value: N/A


Sale 3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27000511 http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064115286?time=1441522800 to http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064115286?time=1441522800 (Backpack history here is a bit wonky, as the Birdcage never appears in the buyers inventory on backpack, but they do line up in the Outpost cage history http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4117676534,615,5 and the keys he recieves later seem unrelated to the sale) Sold for a GE Birdcage. worth 51 to 54 keys


Final sale value: 47 keys (Using the median after overpay)


Sale 4: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26887319 http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072266128?time=1441263600 to http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072266128?time=1441263600 Sold for a Strange Spec. KS Aussie Sniper Rifle with Headshot Kills (Worth 1.5 keys) (http://backpack.tf/item/3532991075)


Rifle mini:

SCM has it at 37 keys

Sellers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27263541 33 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27298314 34 keys (Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27288542 35 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27245253 35 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27297171 35 keys (Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27132103 37 keys, recieved an offer of 34 pure


Using 35 to 37, as 33 and 34 seem outlier-ish


Mini value: 36 keys


Final sale value: 37 keys (Rounded plus the part)


Other sale sold with another outdated unusual for another outdated unusual, not using.


With sales at 35 keys, 37 keys, and 47 keys, not using the 47 key sale as there is some uncertainty if sweets were added plus most offers were around 30 keys, so calling it an outlier. I am rusty at suggestion making so I probably made a mistake or two :P

    I remember owning this hat a long while back. Good to see it's still in circulation...

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27023097 - 28 key B/O in sale #1


      http://backpack.tf/item/1976962189 - The Cold Killer in sale #1 is also duped


      http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064115286?time=1441350000 - 3 keys added with the Panama in sale #4; the names on the keys don't match, but the ID #s from when Keni received them do, indicating that they came from the same trade


      http://backpack.tf/item/3376114347 - Panama, ID# 4099701007 when received by Keni

      http://backpack.tf/item/2823626560 - Example key, ID# 4099701034 when received by Keni

      http://backpack.tf/item/3532991075 - Aussie Rifle, ID# 4099700994 when received by TC TeaKay


      And I agree with omitting sale #3, naturally.

        Thanks for pointing these out, I was tired when I made this lol. Sales would be readjusted to 35 keys, invalid, and 47 keys so yeah... Closing.