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~12 keys
terror-watt
Unusual Madame Dixie Terror-Watt
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"Chainsawed fingers and bone"


Need to update it for another suggestion


The sales


Sale 1:


Sold for KaW capotain (~14) + ~2 in sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125789695?time=1439972444 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125789695?time=1440054000 after


mini sale 1

Mini capper:

Resold for steaming dapper (~13.5) + less than a key worth of sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125789695?time=1439967600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125789695?time=1440054000 after

Using the sweets to round to 14.

Taking 14


0.9*(14) + 2 = ~15


-> 15 keys


======================================================================================================


Sale 2:


Not sure what this sale was. Histories match on nothing

B:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162123792?time=1439967600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162123792?time=1440140400 after


S:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106318198?time=1440114934 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106318198?time=1440140400 after


Neither buyer nor seller had outpost trades of any of he items seen in the before/afters. Not gonna use this.


======================================================================================================


Sale 3:


Sold for 15 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27069373

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067566925?time=1443791990 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067566925?time=1445410800 after


-> 15 keys


======================================================================================================


Sale 4:


Sold for 10 keys, 1 key in ref and ~1 in sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165055074?time=1442623687 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165055074?time=1442646000 after

Kinda low seeing what it was resold for. Seller had no OP trade, so no way to determine this is a qs. ~12 keys


-> 12 keys


======================================================================================================


Sale 5:


Sold for a bubbling baron von haven (~13) + keys? keys dont match in ID and dont have histories yet

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27235408 BO "12 keys or 11".....

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059809217?time=1445238000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059809217?time=1445410800 after

idk what 12 keys or 11 means, but Ill count it as 12


-> 12 keys


======================================================================================================


Theres another sale for a stormy gridiron + ~1 in sweets. the iron is outdated but it supports the low end, based on two sales around 12 keys. I was initially gonna call the ~12 in keys/ref/sweets an outlier due to how it resold for 15 keys and how another sale backed up 15, but the abundance of sales at or around 12 makes me convinced a range is needed here


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy ;3