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first time pricing the new items :D
too many links. not going to even bother trying to organize them into order by trade age
sellers below 10 keys (most are fairly young)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27314168
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27312728
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27313260
sellers @10 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27312415
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27309933
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27301552
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27295458
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27271219
unsold @11 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27297011 - 2 days
classifieds support a drop (a lot of sellers here are also selling on outpost)
https://gyazo.com/1c6948af5d1ae95a995c71afe8c31cae
Conclusion:
10 keys obviously seems to be the most common trading point, while most sellers below 10 are young/poorly bumped and sellers at 11 seem to be almost non-existent.
going with 10 keys flat