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Bought by myself off of the Community Market for £32.95 (£37.88 including Valve charges) which translates to roughly $50, which translates to about 25 keys.
Proof of Purchase: http://i.imgur.com/IeLKJJD.png (you can also check my BP)
Listing Price: http://i.imgur.com/x4USsEO.png
Currency Conversion (£ to $): http://i.imgur.com/D2ugVdO.png
Dollars to Keys: http://i.imgur.com/p36N9DB.png
Note: I know prices aren't usually determined on Community Market Transactions, but I am considering the price of the item without the extra Valve charges. Also, being a 1 of 2 hat, its hard to find trade information that is recent.
Sold for Morning Glory Handle (25 Keys) w/ 5 Keys ~20 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150931131?time=1441954800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150931131?time=1442041200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26887800 - Offered
Sold for Ghastly Ghost Jr Plumber's Pipe (16 Keys) w/ Sweets (~4 Keys) ~12 Keys (Outlier)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150931131?time=1441350000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150931131?time=1441522800
Also, you do $50/2.3 instead of $50/2 in that sale, since keys are around $2.3 rather than $2 which makes your sale at 21 Keys rather than 25 Keys.
Please re-suggest at 20-21 Keys. Thanks.
@Bad-Tempered The links you posted (all except the outpost link) don't seem to work on my end
Eh.. It's working fine for me. Even if it doesn't work for you, the Outpost link which works on your side according to yourself provided another sale anyways. It's enough for a re-suggest since you've did the math wrong anyways.
Fair enough, I'll close this up and rework the suggestion. Thanks for your feedback