Price Suggestion
~9.5 keys
g.codex
Unusual A Head Full of Hot Air Galactic Codex
249 votes up
50 votes down
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Hopefully this will be the FINAL suggestion for this hat, as it contains no old/unpriced data and there are 3 usable sales to get it priced. Tricky little bugger...


Here is my proof:


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Sale 1:


Galactic Codex Head Full of Hot Air and 6 pure keys were traded for a Vivid Plasma Grenadier's Softcap (37 Keys).


Total: (37 Keys - 6 Keys) * 0.9 (Overpay) = 27.9 Keys, rounded up to 28 Keys.


Buyer's BP Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113673803?time=1445842800

Buyer's BP After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113673803?time=1446015600


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Sale 2:


Galactic Codex Head Full of Hot Air was traded for 21 Keys Pure, a Box Trot Taunt (1.2 Keys), and 52 Refined Metal (~3.25 Keys).


Total: 21 + 3.25 + ~1 = ~25 Keys.


Outpost Listing: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27298921


Sale happened within 10 hours of the listing being created. May classify as a quicksale, but it appropriates the range.


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Sale 3:


Galactic Codex Head Full of Hot Air was traded 1:1 for an Australium Grenade Launcher (21 Keys.)


Total: 21 Keys (No overpay applied because it was an Australium, which classifies as pure.)


Seller's BP Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092590381?time=1444978800

Seller's BP After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092590381?time=1445670000


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Minis:


Vivid Plasma Grenadier's Softcap:


Sold for a G.Fetti Grenadier's Softcap (16 Keys) and 21 Keys Pure.


Total: 37 Keys


Seller's BP Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090494957?time=1440226800

Seller's BP After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090494957?time=1440313200


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This is all supported by the current low b/o on TF2Outpost of 30 keys. Seems like the perfect range, given the sales. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27326525


There was also a 1:1 sale involving a Knifestorm Handyman's Handle, but because the Handle is 6 months outdated with no sales, I will update its price accordingly assuming this new price for this hat is accepted.


If there are any other recent sale I have missed, or if I made any errors with the sales data or my calculations, please post them below and I will gladly factor them into the total price and resuggest!


Let it Scoot.

    @Polar, does this look sufficient now? =)

    Wow this looks lowprice. But also valid sales D: Im surprised noone sold it for more.

      Yeah, imagine how I feel. XD


      I opened mine from a crate and I was just interested in getting it priced, so it could be reflected in my BP value. Imagine my surprise to see how low they were actually selling for.


      But like you said, the sales are all valid and it establishes a pretty consistent range. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

        maybe it will rise in a few weeks :) wish ya best success with it ^_^

          Nobody realy knows where to put the invasion hats or effects in the Tier list, the only thing everyone agrees is that Nebula is the best one...

            It also seems the Codex effects are considered the worst, it seems. =/

        how comes no one is pricing these and other reskins?

          They're still pretty new, and some of them don't have a ton of sales yet. I was curious as to how much I should ask for this specific hat (I uncrated one and am considering selling it), so I did some research and saw that there's enough data there to get it priced.

          Too soon, people are quick selling to for halloween items and crates. you should wait and get some real sales

            No, these sales are just fine.

              the only reason to price these new hats so low is for manipulation

                Yes, because I'm going to manipulate a low price for a hat I uncrated myself. Perfect fucking logic. I'm not even sure you understand the concept of manipulation, to be quite honest. Why in the hell would I want a lower price on a hat I'm trying to sell? If I was manipulating, wouldn't I be trying to hide these sales and jack up the price? Does that honestly make ANY sense to you?


                The range fits the sales and the sales fit the range. There's no such thing as "too soon" when it comes to a hat's price, especially if it has multiple sales that establishes a consistent range. Hell, a few of them were done before the Halloween update was even announced, so I have no idea how that's an indication of people quickselling for an event that hadn't even been released yet.


                That's also not even mentioning the fact that there's a current sale on TF2Outpost by Puddilicious with a buyout of 28 keys.


                http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27338636


                It's been up for more than 24 hours and there's been zero interest. That's also not considering the fact that similar listings have been as low as 30 with no relevant traffic. I'm lowballing the price? Lol, okay. Go troll a different suggestion, please.

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27338636


            New sale for the Head Full by Puddilicious. Buyout is 28 keys. Still within the range. Current offer of a Miami Nights Headwarmer, valued at 35 keys. Would equal out to about 30-31 if it is accepted.

              Another sale to report:


              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27364458#p64218003


              Seller in this post states that he sold a G.E. Law for 450 keys pure, $105 USD through PayPal, and a Galactic Codex Head Full.


              Assuming the price on the G.E. WASN'T outdated, it'd put the Head Full at a very high amount, (In excess of 100 keys), meaning that this particular sale is an outlier. It's also a very complicated amount to pinpoint, as the GE Law is 6 months outdated and the only recent sale involves a PayPal transaction, a massive amount of keys, and another outdated unusual (PE Viewfinder).


              Not necessary to report it, but good to make known. =)

                http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27402834 - http://imgur.com/a/TBZ9X - Sold another one, I added 3 Keys to a clean Max's Head. I take Max's as pure making it a 28-3=25 Key sale! I bought it for like 42 on scm huehuehue Arguably a quicksell as it sold in < 2 days but I did relist it from another trade though it was listed when it was untradable.

                  Thanks for reporting this. Supports the range! :D

                  I found a Subatomic Hot Full of Hot Air, wondering about the price

                    That's a completely different price suggestion altogether... =/