The one time I don't expect a big drop.

Sold for a Smoking Liquidator's Lid(12 Keys with Overpay)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084752432?time=1444633200 (October 12th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084752432?time=1444719600 (October 13th)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4209129740,30360,5 Napoleon History

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4212035903,779,5 Liquidator's History

Sold for a Dead Presidents Gentleman's Ushanka(14 Keys with Overpay)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139206131?time=1444719600 (October 13th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139206131?time=1444806000 (October 14th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104990385?time=1444633200 (October 12th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104990385?time=1444806000 (October 14th)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4212035910,30360,5 Napoleon History

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4214402929,778,5 Gentleman's History

Two sales, 12-14 Keys should be fine.

Additional Proof/Counter-Proof/Constructive Criticism/Feedback is always appreciated.