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Just don't use the Sunbeams Sack sale, and this can actively get priced
Sale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27215503 Sold for Pro KS Aussie Knife
X = 41.1*0.9
X = 37
Knife http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4213991453,194,11
Stahl http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4206490963,616,5
Mini for Knife
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Knife Sold for 113.85 and 97$ on October 8th
(113.85 + 97)/2 = $104.53
104.53 + 104.53/1.15 = 195.43
195.43/2 = 97.72
Keys were $2.38 at time of sale
97.72/2.38 = 41.1 keys
Sale 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27203246 Sold for Lantern Merry
B/O for Merry was 45
B/O for Stahl was 45
X = 45*0.9
X = 41
Stahl http://backpack.tf/item/1390741578
Merry http://backpack.tf/item/551157509
Mini for Merry
Trade above had a B/O of 45, using 45
Sack had no available sales, is why i'm not using it
Using the Lantern Merry sale to price MerryBetter to price the Stahl using the Merry, the Merry had a B/O of 45 and was listed as a QS, would make the sale lowEh, I dont think that BO should be used to set a high end to be honest. if there's any other sales on that merry, I guess it can be used, but if not, Id still be inclined to use this for the merry instead. perhaps if that results in the merry being too low, the merry should not yet be updated.
Also, 41 is insanely high for a pro aussie knife, even with overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27353479 2x 35
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27317512 34
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27204286 36 (3 weeks)
meh, too late to edit. Anyway:
Updating the merry. Only other recent sale i can find on it without premium is this
Sold for 30 keys + ~10 keys in sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27332845
did not QS, reslisted, took over a month
B:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066986562?time=1446015600 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066986562?time=1446216693 after
S:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003681989?time=1446063426 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003681989?time=1446188400 after
Summer hat and essentials were involved, presumably the bandana as well. they were resold for other keys/ref in the sellers bp.
examples:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4261705720,492,6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4261705814,347,6
Sweets resold, seller ended up with ~40 pure. I guess taking 41 for it is close enough in this case
I found the 30 key sale but all i found, was 30 keys .-.
Nothing else came up in the ID search
Are you sure the Summer and Essentials were involved? A Genuine Straw Hat was one
As for the knife - I have to use values from back then when the sale occured, since SCM and stuff. The SCM says it's 98? and the sales on Oct 8 say ~104 so...
The rest does not match in ID beause they were resold for keys too fast (and thus dont appear in the sellers bp). Found them through the buyer, and found the seller selling them afterwards. Matches with the other keys he gets in return (see outpost histories that show buyer and seller in the item history)
For the pro aussies, SCM sometimes overvalues them. Tax is the tricky thing there, thats why I personally prefer to match it with what they are selling for on outpost. I guess the difference would be minimal (I guess Id personally have counted it ~35 instead of 37, which matches with the cost of making your own pro knife).
I guess if the knives sold for more at that date, 37 should be fine as well
The knives are selling for about 3-4 keys less than they were 3 weeks ago, probably due to the halloween event. I think this is fine.