"Enjoy"

Late counter; had to update some other stuff for this

The sales

Sale 1

Sold for gifted c9 slouch

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119563409?time=1442300400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119563409?time=1442386800 after

Probably low. Clean ones are ~50

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Sale 2:

Sold for demonflame belgian (~70)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115928144?time=1442300400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115928144?time=1442395941 after

Histories match on OP:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4132973820,30128,5

Price update in the belgian is based on one sale (which was based on SCM values, very close to pure).

-> 70 keys

Sale 3:

sold for MG beret (~53) + smoking slick (~14) + ~2 in sweets, which were probably exchanged for the chapeau. Not sure if it also sold for the chapeau.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197973029544?time=1440562916 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197973029544?time=1440658800 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135649925?time=1440574643 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135649925?time=1440658800 after

Slick is outdated but there have not been recent sales. Since its a minor part of the sale, it should be fine in this case.

0.9*(53+14+2) = ~62

-> 62 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for searing phantom (~42) + s13h backbiters (~48)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26469756

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047239660?time=1439853160 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047239660?time=1439881200 after

The billy is duped but its last suggestion is based on duped sales; either there's only dupes or the clean one never sells.

0.9*(42+48) = ~81

-> 81 keys

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Sales at

<50

62

70

81

Since its being sold for 70 atm, 81 seems high. Seeing how the seller that took the slouch paid significantly more for it than that, and resold it very fast, Im gonna call <50 an outlier as well. Leaves me with a nicer, narrow range of 62-70

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3