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Sale 1:
Unsure what this sold for:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27273917 - B/O of 17 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096210931?time=1446274800&compare=1446361200 - Buyer
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042938501?time=1446361200&compare=1446274800 - Seller
Was open for 2 weeks, therefore, using 17 in the range
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Sale 2:
Sold for Miami Nights Swagman's Swatter
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27350795 - B/O of 18 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096210931?time=1446537600&compare=1446451200
20 *0.9 = 18
18 keys
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Going with 17-18. Will re-suggest at 18 flat if necessary
1st Sale looks like a scm sale, especially since buyer's backpack jumps in value after sale.
Are you sure with the second sale? Looking at the buyer's backpack:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182370058?time=1446451200&compare=1446537600
I'll stay neutral.
http://backpack.tf/item/2382084891 history of the swagman matches