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This took way too long
Sale #1
Sold with S. ks Escape Plan + 1 key + S. Pro ks Festive Eyelander + Genuine Spec Ks KE for GBH One-Man Army + Ghosts Combustible Kabuto
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754?time=1441522800&compare=1441350000
Unpriced kabuto, sale happened more than 2 months ago, not using
Sale #2
Sold for PE Rotation Sensation (190)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049054413?time=1442127600&compare=1442041200
Razur Cut had no outpost trade (seller banned from OP), assuming it was offered
190
Sale #3
Sold for TF Logo Mongolian(10.5) + Cool Professional Killstreak Spark of Life Medi Gun(80) + duped Scorching Slick Cut (132) + ~20 keys in items
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101210182?time=1442386800&compare=1442300400
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TF Logo Mongolian
Sold with ~3 keys in items for Bubbling Swagman(13.5)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117451303?time=1443337200&compare=1442732400
10.5 keys
Medi Gun
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971125672?time=1443510000&compare=1442991600
~80 keys
Slick Cut
Sold with V. Pro Ks Kritzkrieg (7) for GBH Anger(115) + duped SS Salty Dog (24)
Salty Dog
Sold for KaW Soldered Sensei (24)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045582089?time=1444892400&compare=1444806000
115 + 24 - 7 = 132 keys
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10.5 + 80 + 132 + 20 = 242.5
242.5 x 0.9 = 218.25 rounding to 220
Sale #4
Sold with S. Pro Ks Loch-n-Load(4) + Collector's Pro Ks Half-Zatoichi(12) + S. Pro Ks Lightning Rod FN(16) + Pro Ks Aussie Wrench(32) + Pro Ks Aussie Frontier Justice(11) + Pro Ks Aussie Sniper(43) + 25 keys for Sulphurous Polar Pullover(240)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720?time=1443855600&compare=1443423600
240 - (4 + 12 + 16 + 32 + 11 + 43 + 25) = 97
97 x 0.9 = 87.3 rounding to 90 - outlier
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Lightning Rod
SCM Sales (€)
25.51
23.18
35.99
50.60
40.65
33.97
Average: 34.98
34.98 / 2.19 = 15.97 rounding to 16
Half-Zatoichi
SCM Sales (€)
21.05
44.44
33.12
26.98
25.77
Average: 26.23
25.23 / 2.19 = 11.5 rounding to 12
Loch-n-Load
SCM sales (€)
9.52
8.69
9.84
7.63
7.40
7.36
8.38
9.20
9.89
9.14
Average: 8.705
8.705 / 2.19 = 3.97 rounding to 4
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Polar Pullover
Only usable sale
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065792603?time=1442991600&compare=1442386800
Sold with Phosphorous Noble(80) + S. Pro Ks Degreaser(14) + S. Cold Snap Coat(6) + Uncraft S. Merc's Pride Scarf (2.8) for Flies Dread Hiding Hood (180) + AF Killer's Kabuto(165)
Degreaser
SCM Sales (€)
31.96
30.18
30.07
36.50
31.74
10.5836.11
32.20
29.45
25.97
30.70
Average: 31.488
31.488 / 2.19 = 14.38 rounding to 14
Noble
Sold for MG Fruit Shoot(50) + 21 keys + Bruiser's Bandanna(1) + G. Pro Ks AWPer Hand (7.3) + Spec Ks Shahanshah
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065792603?time=1441350000&compare=1440831600
AWP
SCM Sales (€)
18.98
14.99
16.57
16.26
13.13
Average: 15.986
15.986 / 2.19 = 7.3
7.3 + Spec Ks Shahanshah = ~8
80 keys
AF Killer's Kabuto
Sold for Burning Hustler's Hallmark
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116543638?time=1445756400&compare=1445670000
165
180 + 165 - (80 + 14 + 6 + 2.8) = 242.2 rounding to 240
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Sale #5
Sold for Sunbeams Rotation Sensation(338) and tons of stuff ($29 =~14 keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720?time=1446102000&compare=1446188400
338 + 14 = 352
352 x 0.9 = 316.8 rounding to 315
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Rotation Sensation
Sold for PE Stash(250) + Venenata Hat of Cards (88)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044113544?time=1446274800&compare=1446015600
Hat of Cards
Sold for Burning Fro (88)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091539797?time=1446710400&compare=1446624000
Fro
Sold for Sunbeams Stout Shako(60) + Heart Sober Stuntman (28)
Shako
Unsold for a month for 60 keys
http://imgur.com/vcPAHf5
Stuntman
Sold for Searing Ze Goggles
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065855850?time=1444719600&compare=1444633200
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Sale #6
Sold for a Scorching Coldsnap Cap
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657?time=1446274800&compare=1446361200
Not using
Sale #7
Sold for cash
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027097747?time=1446188400&compare=1446361200
Sales at 90, 190, 220, 315
Using middle prices: 190 - 220
That's all
Sale #6 and Sale #7. It sold for like 160 keys (quicksale) to bob. The keys were used to buy the coldsnap cap. Outlier, doesnt change anything on the suggestion, but yeah to get the facts straight.
Thanks for clearing that up!
Sale #3 (my old) is wrong. ill tell what was included more.
it was all items you told + chrono scarf #47 spec ks potassium, gold painted bruisers bandanna prof ks objector and TS painted strange colonel's coat
That's what I added as ~20 keys in items, I can't really get an accurate price on that, but it should be around 20 keys
Oh, my bad. i didint really see that 20 in items
i sold the strange for 3.5 pure, potassium like 30(but it was long time ago so maybe id say 15-17 keys.) the #47 is maybe 2 keys. objector 2 and the bandanna key.
So it's around 25 keys, I don't think it's worth resuggesting for that much
yeah. :) i upvoted :P
thank god i sold hthis 400+ at the time (and resold my stuff etc.) but yah xD
Just to be clear, I did my Rotation and like 15 keys in items for the razor Cut and an Untrade uncraft luger, which I then sold back to the guy like 20 minutes later for a D@D Frontier Djustice.
Oh, didn't notice the luger was uncraftable.
No mini for Djustice so using 76 just as an estimate 315 - 76 = 239 rounding to 240
Or if we use the tradable uncraft luger's price: 315 - 166.5 = 148.5 rounding to 150
I'd leave it as an outlier either way but thanks for pointing that out
So sale 2 is actually incorrect. You can't tell from the bp histories because the two trades happened so quickly. The slick cut was actually offered on a frostbite boxcar and the boxcar was offered on a PE rotation. I'm pretty sure the open boxcar suggestion is going to be a bit low. I'll comment there and then you can use that to set the low end here.
EDIT: That sale will be 170 now. Eh... Not sure about which sales are outliers now.... It looks like sales here are 150, 160, 170, and 220?
With those sales 150 - 170 would be the best, but seeing that Scorching got priced at 215 recently, and Sunbeams is outdated at 178 that would be very low.
So what should I do?
I'm not opposed to a wide range of 150-220. Or maybe even 160-220 setting the low end off a pure sale that went pretty quickly.
160 was a quicksell, so wouldn't that make 150 an outlier aswell, so I could do 170-220?
Idk, I'll resuggest when I get home