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~365 keys
scorch
Unusual Fortunate Son Scorching Flames
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Sale 1:

Sold alongside an Aussie Scattergun for a Scorching Mancer


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094114508?time=1445497200&compare=1445583600


197.5 - 35 X 0.9 = 146.25 (rounded to 145)


Mini on the Mancer

sold for Ghosts Pyromancer's (190 X 0.9 = 171) + 45 keys pure + uncraft Pro. Axtinguisher (we'll call it 1 key conservatively) = 217 keys, rounding to 215


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885?time=1446361200&compare=1446451200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27351864


Sale 2:

Sold for 170 pure


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067741687?time=1443855600&compare=1443682800


Sale 3:

Sold for a Burning Front Runner + 17 keys


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079098551?time=1446274800&compare=1446188400


187.5 X 0.9 + 17 = 185.75 (rounded to 190)


Mini on the Front Runner

Sold for a Sunbeams Master's Yellow Belt


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045071306?time=1444546800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066435523?time=1444546800


190 X 0.9 = 171 + 1 = 172 (rounded to 170)

    General note as I see you constantly doing it:

    When youre doing a mini on something, it should only be on outdated hats.

    A mini is not copying 1 sale from another suggestion. Hence your mini is wrong here; the front runner in the sale is duped, and your mini is for a clean one

    http://backpack.tf/item/956777220


    Same with the mancer:

    http://backpack.tf/item/210745450

    But besides that, you cant cherry-pick one sale from an open suggestion. If you use a suggestion as a mini, take the whole suggestion (but you cant here as its duped)

    Where does 160 come from


    I would also use the Mancer sale to price the Mancer as opposed to pricing this

      Nah, there's tons of sales on the Mancer, and it has a pretty solid range.

      Jack, your suggestions are very confusing.


      1) You get 215 out of the Mancer Mini, but then i guess you used the mid price out of Jacobmeister's suggestion (197.5). You should point that out. Also, i wouldn't apply double overpay as there are some pure sales in that suggestion, but i guess that's optional.


      2) The Aussie Scatter was Professional Killstreak, so it's certainly worth more than the regular one. You need a proper mini on this one.


      3) You get 170 keys after overpay on the Front Runner mini, but then you use 187.5 and apply overpay again. That sale should come out as 190*0.9 + 16 = ~185 (i only see 16 keys added there). But as Foamy pointed out, you need a mini on a duped Front Runner.


      4) Then you take 145-160 as the range, where did it come from?

        An update: I tried pricing this at like midnight last night and didn't notice the typo (I mean't to put 170 instead of 160 :3). I'll fix this up once I'm done with the Crown.