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lets try this again!
Sale 1:
Sold for 500 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27042703
https://i.gyazo.com/8be68b8199b9c1d4d7b0751a711026db.png | https://i.gyazo.com/f083be5d2beb97681758ced3f77b89c7.png (credits to Reg [HAX])
Backpack of buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065493736?time=1442732400 (September 20th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065493736?time=1442818800 (September 21st)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065493736?time=1442818800&compare=1442732400
Backpack of seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094114508?time=1442646000 (September 19th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094114508?time=1442818800 (September 21st)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094114508?time=1442646000&compare=1442818800
Sale 2: (outlier)
Sold for Professional Australium RL + '72 RPS Taunt + Peace Brainiac Hairpiece + Sweets = <250 keys
[no outpost trade]
Backpack of buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384?time=1446274800 (October 31st)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384?time=1446361200 (November 1st)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384?time=1446361200&compare=1446274800
Backpack of seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211109221?time=1446274800 (October 31st)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211109221?time=1446361200 (November 1st)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211109221?time=1446361200&compare=1446274800
Sale 3: (outlier; sold within a day)
Quicksold for 280 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27201434
Backpack of buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010366946?time=1442646000 (September 19th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010366946?time=1444374000 (October 9th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010366946?time=1444374000&compare=1442646000
Backpack of seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056410309?time=1444287600 (October 8th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056410309?time=1444374000 (October 9th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056410309?time=1444374000&compare=1444287600
Sale 4:
Sold for Duped Scorching Flames Company Man* (~225) + Green Energy Bonk Boy (160*0.9) = 369 (rounding to 370 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27166453
Backpack of buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116536922?time=1443769200 (October 2nd)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116536922?time=1443855600 (October 3rd)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116536922?time=1443855600&compare=1443769200
Backpack of seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073372048?time=1443769200 (October 2nd)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073372048?time=1443855600 (October 3rd)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073372048?time=1443855600&compare=1443769200
Sale 5:
Sold for DBD Team Captain (115*0.9) + PE Rotation Sensation (190*0.9) + Burning Flames Connoisseur's Cap* (150) + Burning Flames Western Wear (50) = 474.5 (rounding to 470 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27286263
http://i.imgur.com/HhQo35G.jpg
Backpack of seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116536922?time=1444287600 (October 8th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116536922?time=1444374000 (October 9th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116536922?time=1444374000&compare=1444287600
Mini-suggestion for Duped Scorching Flames Company Man*:
Sold for Death at Dusk Tipped Lid = 250*0.9 = 225 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019257028?time=1446015600 (October 28th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019257028?time=1446102000 (October 29th)
~Taking a value of 225 keys.
Mini-suggestion for Burning Flames Connoisseur's Cap*:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27333827 - B/O of 150 keys
~Taking a value of 150 keys.
Mini-suggestion for Burning Flames Western Wear*:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27333827 - B/O of 50 keys
~Taking a value of 50 keys.
Notes:
More sales have occurred since my last suggestion, hopefully this one will be right.
Conclusion:
Three valid sales at 500, 370 and 470 keys. Taking a final range of 370-500 keys.
Feel free to support/counter my suggestion!
370 is quite a ways from the other two valid sales you have, I'd be adding that to the outlier list as well.
The range isn't horribly massive. Same ratio as an unusual with a range of 37-50, which is fine.
maybe round to 400 so it does not look as bad?
EDIT: Why remove comment?
Rounding up 30 keys is way too much. Only reasonable for unusuals >1000 keys.
Oh did not know that
Could the 500 be considered an outlier since it was shortly after they were unboxed and we know Reg is a scorching all class collector who pays pure for the hats he wants? We have yet to see another sales near 500 pure nor offers even close. I find it odd to call sale 2 and 3 outliers but not sale 1. Hell, there is a current b/o of 450 here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27236065
Well, if anything I would agree with Snowraptor and perhaps outlie the 370 key sale. The sales are also pretty iffy as they are all over the place, but even though Reg is a scorching all-class collector, it's hard to just ignore a huge pure sale like that. We'll see what the mods or others might have to say about this. :)
@ Snapp3r
I turned down a SF Modest + GE Cowl offer.
= 506
The others on Outpost have turned down better.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27430648 - sold for duped scorching mancers (~200) + duped burning tossle (~150) + aussie sticky (15)
Maybe the unusuals are a few keys lower, also no overpay applied yet.
Hm, what range would you suggest I should resuggest at?
That's a good question. I'm not entirely sure, I guess find minis and resuggest with the new range, even if it's 300-500. I rather have a bigger range including all the sales than 330-370 here tbh.
Alright, sounds good. I'll do this once I'm free within the day. Thanks, Woifi!