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Before voting on this, make sure you are prepared as it is going to get Steamy.
Using two trackable recent sales.
Sale #1:
Bought mine for a Bonzo The All-Gnawing Ze Goggles, Zoomin' Broom and a Professional Killstreak Strange Pomson 6000:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27386442
Screenshot of the trade:
http://m.imgur.com/MGOtcp8
Proof of effect of the Goggles:
http://m.imgur.com/CUUanQZ
Total: (45.5 + 4 + ~3)*0.9 = 47.25 keys
Buyout was at 45 keys
Sale #2:
Sold for a Circling TF Logo Chieftain's Challenge and 30 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27056883
Buyer's backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055812205?time=1443769200
Buyer's backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055812205?time=1443942000
Total: (22.5*0.9) + 30 = ~50 keys
Buyout was at 50 keys
Please tell me if I made a mistake.
I don't know if this will help, but according to this http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27146917, this person sold a steaming KE with some sweets for a burning bonk leadwear. In the trade notes he says "SOLD FOR MY STEAMING KE +STRANGE SPEC KILLSTREAK FESTIVE GRENADE + STRANGE FACTORY NEW AQUA MARINE FOR A BURNING FLAMES BONK LEADWEAR".
I'm aware of that sale
Didn't include it as the Leadwear is outdated and it'll make the KE too low
The total would be 39 (Outdated price) - 2 (Aqua) - 5 (Grenade) = 32 keys