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I really hate what this is for.
http://backpack.tf/item/463798013
Sale 1) Sold for a Sunbeams Yellow Belt (Updated at 190 then) + Holy Grail I See You (45) = 235 * 0.9 = ~212 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195067362?time=1442214000 (Buyer Before)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195067362?time=1442732400 (Buyer After)
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http://backpack.tf/item/1424751268
Sale 2) Sold for a Purple Energy Rotation (190) * 0.9 = ~171 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128484499?time=1446624000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128484499?time=1446710400
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Rounding to 170 - 210
Sold mine for 167 keys + a p fetti coupe about a month ago. Got my upvote
Got mine for 50 CS (55 TF) keys and my hell fire brigade (140) = 195
Close enough,up vote.
More Sales:
Sold for a Scorching Flames Trophy Belt (~175)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27295497
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195067362?time=1447142400&compare=1447228800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993976532?time=1447228800&compare=1447056000
175 * .9 = 158 keys
Sold w/ a Purple Energy Trophy Belt (~68.5) for a Scorching Flames Samur-Eye (~297, mini below)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657?time=1448006400&compare=1448092800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993976532?time=1448006400&compare=1448092800
(297 * .9) - 68.5 = 199 keys ~> the Scorching Samur-Eye mini seems high though.
Scorching Samur-Eye mini
Sold for a Molten Mallard Team Captain (~330)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061836787?time=1445497200&compare=1445410800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042938501?time=1445497200&compare=1445410800
330 * .9 = 297 keys
Probably sold on marketplace
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27497110
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960269630?time=1448784000&compare=1448870400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057160393?time=1448697600&compare=1448870400
Also you missed that your second sale had a b/o of 160 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27334343
2 sales at 160; guess the range should be widened to 160-210.