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Sale :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27398827 - 5 ref (Not in bp)
Conclusion :
No sellers at 4 ref.
seller at 10 ref : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27397379
Idk if this will help, but i will comment :D
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27350349 - (quick)sold for 8.22 ref - could be halloween hype
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27221549 - He bought it for 4 ref - after a long time
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146764497?time=1446274800&compare=1446361200 - Seems like it didn't sold for 8,22 ref. At least I can't be sure unless the user himself confirms.