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~76 keys
vivid
Unusual Tyrant's Helm Vivid Plasma
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"Grab the rope"


Saw this valued wrong in the vivid modest mini. Guess the actual sale used for the mini would be low though.


The sales


Sale 1:


Sold for duped H.moon guad (~63) + ~4 in sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26987309

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084771087?time=1441868400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084771087?time=1441954800 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084771087?time=1441954800&compare=1441868400


mini sale 1:

Mini guad:

Sold for TaW cone (~63)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068400532?time=1441522800&compare=1441609200

Taking 63


0.9*(63+4) = ~61


-> 61 keys


================================================================================================


Sale 2:


Sold + S. huntsman for ghosts buto

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27006176

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061219874?time=1443164400&compare=1443250800

Should be used for the buto


================================================================================================


Sale 3:


Sold for pro aussie rocket (~70)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27387491 offered here

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051516166?time=1446796800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051516166?time=1446969600 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051516166?time=1446796800&compare=1446969600


-> 70 keys


================================================================================================


Sale 4:


Presumably sold for csgo

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27075114

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054540958?time=1443596400&compare=1443510000 nothing that matches close to its value in return


================================================================================================


Sale 5:


Sold + blizz bubblepipe for duped burning fro

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27259924

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057888874?time=1446274800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057888874?time=1446361200 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057888874?time=1446274800&compare=1446361200

Fro outdated and duped, but this supports the drop


================================================================================================


Sale 6:


Sold for CV merry (~82, but has sellers at 73)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1445065200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1445151600 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1445065200&compare=1445151600

Merry seems to have been bought here for duped GE reggae + s. pro huntsman

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057888874?time=1445065200&compare=1445151600

Would probably be more than 73, and this after overpay is close enough to 73


0.9*82 = ~74


-> 74 keys


================================================================================================


Sales at ~61, 70 and 74. The 62 is based on a duped hat; the clean one sold for 70 pure and would match the low end of what Im suggesting. Gonna exclude 61 and keep the drop conservative. Matches with buyouts I found on this when I minied it a month or two ago.


As for the modest suggestion:


- theres a relatively old sale for a spellbound fukaa (would be 75 after overpay) (More info: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/563f8b09dea9e9ee477f7679 )

- The spartan sale would be (81-2)*0.9 = ~70 (given that the spartans pricing at ~81 is correct)

- The sale for the vivid modest would be 0.9*72 = 65

there may be more sales that I'd check out, but the accepted range is still very high


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3