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Headed for Indiana, stabbing woman like the Phantom
~28 exist but only 4 sales? This might be a tricky one...
Sale #1
Bulk sale
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031371895?time=1446969600&compare=1446883200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014664814?time=1446883200&compare=1446969600
Sale #2
Bulk sale for a Strange Nebula Captain Space Mann
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014664814?time=1446710400&compare=1446624000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049957667?time=1446710400&compare=1446624000
Sale #3
Sold w/ a Strange Shooting Star (~12.5 at the time) for a Burning Flames Large Luchadore (~182.5, mini below)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27245377
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085540473?time=1445929200&compare=1446274800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046847895?time=1446188400&compare=1446274800
(182.5 * .9) - 12.5 = 152 keys
Burning Large Luchadore mini
Sold for a Circling Heart Exquisite Rack (~182.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27188128
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085540473?time=1445065200&compare=1445151600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416?time=1445151600&compare=1445065200
Sale #4
Sold for a Duped Sunbeams Hustler's Hallmark (~105, mini below) + Professional Killstreak Australium Eyelander (~55) + Professional Killstreak Australium Stickybomb Launcher (~21) + Professional Killstreak Australium Grenade Launcher (~26)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990821273?time=1442386800&compare=1442473200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070018257?time=1442386800&compare=1442473200
(105 + 55 + 21 + 26) * .9 = 186 keys
Duped Beams Hallmark mini
Sold for an Orbiting Planets Bonk Boy (~26.5) + Sunbeams Ye Olde Baker Boy (~90, micro below)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27344529
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089288620?time=1446537600&compare=1446624000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019556015?time=1446624000&compare=1446537600
(90 + 26.5) *.9 = 105 keys
Beams Baker Boy micro
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56482e92dea9e91f577f771f ~90 keys
Offers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27418107 - declined a Cloudy Moon Bone Dome (~170) + 20 keys ~> he also offered this to other PE Rack sellers (see below)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27401799 - declined a Darkblaze Tough Stuff Muffs (~195) + 5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27350825 - declined a Sunbeams Tyrant's Helm (~170) + sweets
Doing the math, these offers range from ~150-180
Conclusion:
4 sales, using only 1 of them. Sales #1 and #2 are bulk deals, so I can't use them. With declined offers ranging from ~150-180 keys, 152 keys looks like an outlier; safe to exclude Sale #3 from the range. Sale #4 is the only valid one I have, so taking 190 keys (186 rounded up to the nearest ten) as the new price.
Additional and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.
Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ノ
Cause 190 is the only valid price I provided.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27078056 sold for 175 pure
The trade went under a day, so I'm guessing it can be considered a quicksell; supports the raise. Thank you for the additional evidence.
yeah, it also supports 152 as an outlier
Sold for a Duped Disco Viewfinder if you wanna look into that as well
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078385860?time=1448092800&compare=1448006400
Eugh, sorry for not updating this sooner. Laptop's broken :x
Duped DBD Viewfinder mini:
Sold w/ 8 keys for an MG Rack (~155)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26063822
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024427134?time=1446883200&compare=1447056000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078385860?time=1447142400&compare=1447056000
(155 * .9) - 8 = 132 keys
Back to the sale:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27418107
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078385860?time=1448092800&compare=1448006400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031371895?time=1448092800&compare=1448006400
132 + 2 = 134 keys
Guess I should do 135-190? Seems like a large range though.
I would include that abovementioned fast pure sale as low end and 190 as high end. Valuing it this low based on a sale for a dupe is kinda unrealistic :P Lower sales support the fact that a range may be needed, but valuing it below the pure is kinda off to me, especially since a dbd view is priced much higher than the value that the dupe would provide.