"piss or treat"

planned on doing this since I did the PE bombing run. Just saw it passing in a suggestion, so lets goooo

The sales

Sale 1:

Sold + kaw muffs for sbtwc merry

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126631500?time=1447142400&compare=1447315200

Should not be used here

Sale 2:

Sold for 24 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27145977

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096389539?time=1444028400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096389539?time=1444114800 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096389539?time=1444028400&compare=1444114800

Had a stock of 24 keys after as seen here:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27183420

-> 24 keys

Sale 3:

Probably sold for dota stuff

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26911230

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991697048?time=1442991600&compare=1443855600

===========================================================================================

Sale 4:

QSed for 27:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27364184

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036128056?time=1446624000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036128056?time=1446537600 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036128056?time=1446624000&compare=1446537600

-> 27 keys QS[/b]

===========================================================================================

Sale 5:[/b]

Sold for PE bombing run (~29) + ~7 in sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27368125 BO 30

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025374347?time=1446624000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025374347?time=1446710400 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025374347?time=1446624000&compare=1446710400

0.9*(29+7) = ~32, capping at a buyout of 30

Buyout has not been up for long, but the difference is minimal, and other sales have been lower

-> 30 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for an unu shotgun? not sure, histories dont match

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26118160 this was the last post he had opened, long before he sold.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197986957306?time=1439881200&compare=1441868400

===========================================================================================

QS at 27 puts my unclear sale at 24 as an easy outlier. Both support the drop. Gonna go 30 flat.

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3