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~239 keys
moon
Unusual Western Wear Cloudy Moon
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Bulllet holes left in my peepholes


Over 13 months old price; a hard drop is expected.


Sale #1

Sold for a Circling TF Logo Exquisite Rack (~55) + ~2.5 keys in pure

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089243832?time=1447488000&compare=1447315200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071371521?time=1447488000&compare=1447401600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27424081 ~> the Western Wear was offered for the Logo Rack; no overpay

=58 keys


Sale #2

Sold for an Anti-Freeze Full Metal Drill Hat (~70)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042938501?time=1447401600&compare=1447488000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071371521?time=1447401600&compare=1447488000 ~> the Western Wear doesn't appear on his backpack because it was sold for the Logo Rack the same day (see the sale above)

70 *.9 = 63 keys


AF Drill Hat mini

Sold for a Professional Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher (~70)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136556581?time=1445065200&compare=1445151600

= 70 keys


Sale #3

Sold for 44 keys ~> quicksale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27360423

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754?time=1447142400&compare=1447228800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042938501?time=1447228800&compare=1447142400


Sale #4

Sold for $27.5 on SCM ~> obvious outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27357744

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092233343?time=1446537600&compare=1446451200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754?time=1446451200&compare=1446537600


Sale #5

No return on seller's side; paypal trade maybe?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127402470?time=1446274800&compare=1446188400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092233343?time=1446274800&compare=1446188400


Conclusion:

5 sales; using only 2 of them. Not using Sale #3 as it was a quicksale, anything below that (i.e. Sale #4) is logically an outlier. I couldn't track sale #5, but it wouldn't be usable anyway since the buyer is SR marked. Taking 58-63 keys as the new price.


Additional and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.


Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ノ