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I could on find two sales on this hat in the past five months. Constructive criticism is always welcomed!
Sale 1. (No tf2outpost trade)
Hellfire Plummer's Pipe (38 keys) + S. Spec Ks. Frying Pan (~8.4 keys) sold for Circling Peace Sign Mater's Yellow Belt (51.21 keys)
51.21-8.4=42.8 keys
BP of seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031879612?time=1433833200
BP of seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031879612?time=1434610800
BP of buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022689799?time=1433833200
BP of buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022689799?time=1434092400
Sale 2.
Very recently I bought it for 50 keys pure. (No tf2oupost trade)
BP of seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022689799?time=1447401600
BP of seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022689799?time=1447747200
BP of buyer before: Apparently backpack.tf never scanned my backpack for the few hours I had the 50 keys.
BP of buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079638496?time=1447747200
I'm also never planning on selling this for a long time if that will make a difference.
If I'm correct you have to calculate overpay to the Yellow Belt by multiplying by 0.9 plus the Yellow Belt is out of date so you'd need a mini for it.
Whoops, DIEgo is right.
first sale is too old so invalid, the only usable would be the second one so 50 flat should be fine.