Sale 1

Sold for arcana magnificent mongolian and 2 key sweets = (37 + 2) * 0.9 = 35 keys

Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080428264?time=1446102000 (October 29th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080428264?time=1446451200 (November 2nd)

Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080428264?time=1446102000&compare=1446451200

• Mini on arcana mongolian:

  Sold for 34 keys and ~3 key sweets = 37 keys

  http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27134423

  
  

  Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123907426?time=1444546800 (October 11th)

  Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123907426?time=1444633200 (October 12th)

  Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123907426?time=1444546800&compare=1444633200

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Sale 2

Sold for haunted ghosts industrial festivizer (25-27) and ghastly ghosts jr prancer's pride (22) = (26 + 22) * 0.9 = 43 keys

• Mini on ghosts festivizer:

  http://backpack.tf/vote/id/564cd1eddea9e9123a7f7b05

• Mini on ghastly ghost jr prancer's:

  Sold for blizzardy storm bubble pipe = 22 keys

  
  

  Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145465595?time=1447228800 (November 11th)

  Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145465595?time=1447315200 (November 12th)

  Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145465595?time=1447228800&compare=1447315200

• Micro on blizzardy bubble pipe:

  http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27239928 22 keys, unsold 1 month

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Sale 3

Sold for specialized aussie sniper rifle (~32) = (32 * 0.95) = 29 keys

Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155722861?time=1447488000 (November 14th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155722861?time=1447574400 (November 15th)

Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155722861?time=1447488000&compare=1447574400

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Sale 4

Sold for strange pro gunslinger (18-20) = 19 * 0.9 = 17 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27331866 wanted 50 keys, missing something?

Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078207818?time=1446537600 (November 3rd)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078207818?time=1446624000 (November 4th)

Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078207818?time=1446624000&compare=1446537600

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Sale 5

Sold/offered with ~14 key sweets for green black hole firewall helm - outlier?

Seller before; http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038485845?time=1446537600 (November 3rd)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038485845?time=1446624000 (November 4th)

Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038485845?time=1446537600&compare=1446624000

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Sale 6

Sold for bubbling vintage tyrolean

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27388627 qs?

Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185186335?time=1446796800 (November 6th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185186335?time=1446883200 (November 7th)

Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185186335?time=1446796800&compare=1446883200

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Sellers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27384428 "more than 30", 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27416931 40 keys, 5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27380981 40 keys, 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27369622 40 keys, 1 week

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Given the multiple unsold at 40, going with 29-35 on the range. Feedback welcome.