Suggestion: Dead Presidents Frenchman's Beret at 11–17 keys

Price Suggestion

~13.5 keys

55 votes up

9 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Wed, 18 Nov 15 22:07:18 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Counter-maipulation - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/564ce045ba8d882c5ca95140

He already got banned, let's drop his hat too :)

Sale #1

Sold for Aces Sober Stuntman

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079783610?time=1442732400&compare=1442559600

Was probably offered, so not taking overpay

Sale #2

Sold with 3 keys + 16 ref (was 1 key at the time) for Aces Samur-Eye

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070883481?time=1446015600&compare=1445238000

23.5 x 0.9 = 21.15

21.15 - 4 = 17.15 rounding to 17

Sale #3

Sold for lots of stuff with strange parts/killstreak, falls in the range

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198187414155?time=1447660800&compare=1447574400

Minis

Stuntman

Sold for 11 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100461498?time=1444633200&compare=1444546800

These sales seem rather discrepant, it's a very wide range for an item this low in value

Its previous price was a range with a 6 keys difference too

17 flat wouldn't do as sale #3 is around 15 keys

That was back in bud values (1.3-1.8). And, just to show 11 is an outlier:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27257012 - buyer at 11

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26308975 - buyer at 11

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26985914 - buyer at 11

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26967279 - buyer at 11

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27168309 - buyer at 11

There are probably more, everyone copies and pastes these trades.

Didn't think about buyers, I guess I'll have to try to get a price out of sale #3

Yea... counters the 1st sale. I'd wait to find another one.

I've seen wider and worse ranges for hats this low in value...

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/561eea90b98d88a01fcc1ab0

I wasn't necessarily saying the range was wrong; its just that sometimes in these cases you can call one of these sales an outlier. And that's the case here.

Oh I know. I had already posted this then refreshed the page and saw all of those buyers. I know whatya mean :D

Okay, so would 15-17 work?

Sale #3

Sold for

- S. Loch-n-Load (4 ref)

- G Person in the Iron Mask w/ Australium Gold (2.33 - 6.08 ref = ~4.22)

- Spec Ks Purple Range Sniper Rifle MW (3.75 keys)

- Current Event Scattergun FT (1 key - http://imgur.com/hj5dbrv)

- S. Degreaser (1.25 keys)

- S. Grenade Launcher (2.66 ref)

- S. Knife w/ Heavies Killed (3.33 - 7.33 ref = ~5.33)

- S. Rocket Launcher w/ Crit Kills (4.5 ref - 29.92 ref = ~17.22 ref)

- S. Forest Fire (7.33 ref)

- S. Anger (1.4 keys)

- 1 Mann Co. Supply Crate Key

- Local Hero Pistol (~0.66 ref)

- S. Ks Scattergun (8.66 ref)

- S. Bruce's Bonnet (2.5 keys)

- Ks Festive Rocket (2 keys)

- S. Carbonado Botkiller Medi Gun Mk.I (3.33 ref)

- 2 Refined Metal

- S. SMG (2 ref)

- V. Pyrovision Goggles (0.66 ref)

- Carpet Bomber Stickybomb Launcher (~2 ref)

- Fast Learner w/ Pink paint (2.66 - 10.95 ref = ~6.88)

- S. Ks Sniper (6 ref)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198187414155?time=1447660800&compare=1447574400

Taking strange part values at 25%

72.95 ref = ~4.3 keys

12.9 keys

12.9 + 4.3 = 17.2

17.2 x 0.9 = 15.48 rounding to 15

Purple Range

SCM Sales (€)

11.87

9.38

5.79

7.27

8.05

Average: 8.472

Keys are 2.26 on SCM right now

8.472 / 2.26 = 3.74 keys rounding 3.75

Forest Fire

1.01

1.04

1.02

1.03

0.80

Average: 0.98

0.98 / 2.26 = 0.43 = ~7.33 ref

Scatter

1.12

1.18

Average: 1.156

1.156 / 2.26 = 0.51 = ~8.66 ref

Sniper

0.69

0.85

0.92

Average: 0.8

0.8 / 2.26 = 0,35 = ~6 ref

Festive Rocket

4.53

4.60

4.62

4.64

Average: 4.606

4.606 / 2.26 = 2.03 rounding to 2

Edit: nvm, I applied overpay on that 1 key too, without that it comes out to 15.58 which rounds to 16, so 16-17

That looks fine to me. :D