Sellers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27456432 - 4.66 Ref - 2 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27462697 - 4.66 Ref - Young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27375480 - 5 Ref - 14 Days - Not bumped well

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27386434 - 5 Ref - 14 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27428437 - 5 Ref - 8 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27432193 - 5 Ref - 6 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27446281 - 5 Ref - 4 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27467466 - 5 Ref - Young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27464371 - 5 Ref - Young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27468598 - 5 Ref - Young

Classifieds:

http://imgur.com/a/hh0Hc

x2 4.55 Ref

x3 4.66 Ref

x1 4.88 Ref

x9 5 Ref

Conclusion:

It can't sell at 5 Ref. With a couple sellers below, 4.66 is a common trading point, taking a flat range of 4.66 Ref.