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~33 keys
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Unusual Rimmed Raincatcher Green Black Hole
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1.5 Years Outdated


Sale 1:

Sold for a Duped Smoking Executioner - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27099485

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080075371?time=1443510000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080075371?time=1443596400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080075371?time=1443510000&compare=1443596400

45 x 0.9 = ~40 Keys


Mini for Executioner

He then sold it for Searing Tavish's Crown + TF Mongolian + Black BMOC

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080075371?time=1444114800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080075371?time=1444201200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080075371?time=1444114800&compare=1444201200

32 + 8 + 5 = 45 Keys


Mini for Searing Crown

Sold for 32 Keys Pure

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014925037?time=1446969600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014925037?time=1447488000

= 32 Keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014925037?time=1446969600&compare=1447488000


Mini for TF Mongolian

Couldn't find a mini for a clean one so I hope this is alright.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27134994 - Seller for 9 Keys - Nearly 2 Months Unsold

9 x 0.9 = ~8 Keys


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sale 2:

Sold with Mallard Chapeau for D@D Bomber's Bucket

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107903058?time=1440918000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107903058?time=1441263600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107903058?time=1440918000&compare=1441263600

Not Using - Also nearly outdated anyway


Conclusion:

1 Valid Sale at 40 Keys, taking a flat range of 40 Keys.

    Count the Mongolian as 9, not 8. Don't apply overpay to the crown, as it sold for pure.


    So, 14 * 0.9 = 13 + 32 = 45.

    As overpay is already applied, this should be 45.

      I did consider the overpay but my reasoning for the Mongolian is that if it hasn't sold in 2 months, it shouldn't be valued at 9 Keys, though I do realize now that I did apply overpay in the mini and then in the sale.


      I didn't apply overpay to the crown since it did sell for pure but I did apply overpay on the Executioner since the Raincatcher sold for a hat that sold for a hat that sold for pure. It doesn't seem like it makes sense not to apply overpay here.


      Taking into account the Mongolian at 9, this would raise the value of the Raincatcher by a key to 41 Keys.

        Ah, alright.

    All of my sales lol upvote