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It's a year and a half old price, the drop is expected
Only Sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26984254 Sold for Gifted Smoking Dixie + 2 keys + 1 key in sweets
Dixie had no trade, presuming offered
B/O for Trencher's was 17
X = 9*0.9 + 2 + 1*0.9
X = 11
Dixie https://backpack.tf/item/1450073989
Trencher's https://backpack.tf/item/3727999609
Mini for Dixie
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27005743 Sold for 8 keys + 2 Smoking Cheese wheels
B/O for Dixie was 9
X = 8 + 1*0.9
X = 9
Dixie https://backpack.tf/item/1450073989
Keys + Cheese https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091734693?time=1442818800&compare=1442991600
You missed a sale.
B/O 15
Sold for 14 pure:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133550470?time=1444806000&compare=1444719600
Took ~2-3 Days
EDIT:
You is also missed this:
Offered with S Scotch Saver for TWatt Raincatcher:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090612059?time=1441609200&compare=1441695600
I'm using the Raincatcher sale TO PRICE the Raincatcher, I intentionally leave out that info since it's not important, give me credit here - I know what I am doing
As for the Pure sale, I'll have to put that in