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School has ended for the year!
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27403303 - 2 Ref - 15 Days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27479761 - 2 Ref - 3 Days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27432834 - 'bp.tf price' - 10 Days - Unbumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27492505 - 'bp.tf price' - Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27494523 - 1.55 Ref - Young
Classifieds:
http://i.imgur.com/nv1j9BZ.png
x1 1.55 Ref
x3 1.66 Ref (One unsold for 2 Days)
x2 2 Ref (One unsold for > 1 Month)
Conclusion:
SCM supports the drop. Can't sell for 2 Ref, with a few sellers at 1.66 Ref. Taking a flat range of 1.66 Ref
Both of your 2 ref sellers have sold it seems but unsold for a month hurts a lot. And multiple available for lower than 2 ref as well.