Price Suggestion
Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
Submitted by 44
~57.22 ref
Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
1133 votes up
408 votes down
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Comments

#20refbeforeChristmas


Let's try this.


Classified: http://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1

Sorry too much to photoshop 'n stuff

At the time of suggesting:

Buyers:

4x 19 ref

9x 18.88 ref

19x 18.77 ref

18x 18.66 ref


Sellers:

~40x 19 ref


Outpost:


Buyers @ 19 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27348151

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26910525

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27273707

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27463743

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27454746


Buyers @ 18.88 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27437857

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27199604

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27497300

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25836506


Buyers @ 18.77 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25463293

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25155171

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27389312

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27430687

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25718541

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26856392

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25555141

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27493749

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27410795

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27437062

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27467833

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27148086

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27448387

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27364352

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27251876


Buyers @ 18.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27009913

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27492481

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27494313

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27491717

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27478005

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27322324

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27491869

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25788259

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27490060

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27418730

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27485987

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27485984

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27485978

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27437296

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27428948

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26020940

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27359427

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27486053

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27492737

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27358650

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26819769

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25424849

    Excellent. Upvote.

      5 outpost links for one of the most important currencies.... the hell is wrong with bp.tf these days?


      Note** Of your '5' links:

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27348151 - 18.88 ref NOT 19.

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27463743 - closed.


      So you have 3 OP links to support one of the most traded currencies in game to support your high end.


      If this suggestion goes through, I really do pity the road bp.tf is going down.

        Blimy, seems like someone's a little unhappy.

        Can we bear in mind that you were told by black belts never to suggest again. http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53fdee02b88d88d0518b4602


        The first link is a mistake. Sorry about that.

        Second was open when I pasted it. If anything its proves my point since it shows that sales are happening at 19 ref...

        I think that bp.tf is going the right direction in encouraging less experienced suggestors to get more involved and if I were you I would reevualuate your cynical stance on minor errors.

          Hahah please tell me, what has that suggestion got to do with yours right now? I would gladly keep suggesting if I had too much time on my hands. Someones a little desperate by going left field to divert the attention away from the point.


          You still have insufficient evidence to support your high end and that clearly stands. I would like a moderator to explain otherwise unless theyve become that lenient to pass a key suggestion with 3 links. Don't try and stray from my point. I too would encourage more people to suggest, however, these suggestions are made public for criticism. If you need to go on a personal level to defend your suggestions, I pity you as a bp.tf suggestor.

          I was merely pointing out mistakes as it is clear no one checks anything anymore, nothng cynical about it. And 3 links for a key suggestion is definitely NOT the right direction.

          Come back after a year and this place is full of pompous knowitalls.

            Interesting story...I said that I was a less experienced suggestor, so different to "pompous knowitalls". Furthermore, even if I am one, where did you get "full".

            More evidence: http://imgur.com/FzdcMoN

            x96 @ 19 ref

            x38 @ 18.88 ref

                Alright, black belt here.


                You don't really seem to have changed from a year ago, at all whether in terms of civility or maturity. This suggestion seems perfectly fine at first glance. Everyone makes small mistakes, and it's always good to point them out. Just do it in a polite manner. Not that hard. As to us "pompous knowitalls", doesn't necessarily mean we're wrong.

                  And where is the "civility and maturity" in denigrating someone by saying they should "never suggest again"? That is the most left field reply I've ever had. Having an opinion on bp.tf's cutoff range for sufficient evidence has nothing to do with Wustin's ability to make suggestions, which he obviously took the wrong way.


                  Whether people like it or not, I still stand by my opinion that 3 links is definitely insufficient unless additional evidence is provided. Disliking or disparaging me will not discourage me from commenting.


                  P.S. @Cobalt. Could you tell me why such little evidence is needed for key suggestions nowadays?

                    I wouldn't want to bother, but you should take a look at the Classifieds and Outpost and you'll find there are almost no keys for sale at less than 19 ref anymore with loads of sellers and buyers at 19/19+ refs.

                    I don't think he's missing proofs, perhaps he would need to update the links?

                      At the time of my first comment there were only 3 valid op links, which felt inappropriate to me.

                      However, as key suggestions are made the market adjusts to it, so I believe there is now enough 19 ref buyers after looking through the market to pass the suggestion. I do believe that it needs to be provided on the suggestion, as you have said, and not make others look around for evidence.

              FINALLY! somebody else sees!

                bp.tf is about proof not communist ideology.

                The buyers are plenty enough proof to raise.

                Especially considering the majority are bulk buyers.

                "Professional" economists aren't welcome here. js

            HUUUUURRRR OWNS 2 MANIPULATION.


            Sorry, still can't help it. Anyways, seem good to me. Upvoterino.

              you need to screenshot the classifieds.

              a link to the classifieds is not enough.

                Are you not capable of clicking the link and viewing them for yourself?

                Those are ever changing, new posts are created and old ones removed due to sales/boughts. Unless you want an hour long gif of the classies I suggest you keep an eye on them yourself.

                  Can you imagine an hour long classies gif? It would be like watching the forming of earth from the big bang through the dinosaurs all the way to you sitting watching a gif about the classies.


                  Although if you are a creationist then it would just be a really slow series of images of god creating the earth in 7 days.


                  I think i got off topic...

                    To be honest with you, I think it would be very cathartic! I'd definitely have a good go at watching it!


                    I just really hope we've not started a new way to suggest prices where all you get is a feature length gif...


                    New Meta?..

                      That... actually sounds interesting


                      Inefficient, but interesting

                  yeah maybe for regular, small market items. Keys are highly volatile and the classies exact number of buyers and at what price keeps changing. For items like keys and buds it's just better to link the classies to save the suggestor from rescreenshotting every hour. Plus they're long as shit

                  seems good to me!

                    #20refSmissmasParty

                      *sigh* keys are going to be 25 ref by Christmas aren't they, also nice evidence upvote

                        By smissmass one key is gonna be worth enough to buy a page worth of craft hats.

                        Maybe.

                        Eh, probably not.

                        Reluctant upvote.

                          Aaaand disliked into hell.

                          Should I wait until xmas for.trade my keys then? (N00b here)

                            Generally around the Christmas time, everything hypes up and up insanely.


                            It's definitely a good idea to hold on to them and wait until it stops raising and starts dropping

                            Buyer for 19 ref filled the first page of classies, upvote

                              Haven't traded for a while and all of a sudden keys are worth 19 ref?!


                              #RipEconomy

                                Keys got up in actual money price so yes, of course the value in ref would change.

                                  Where were you last christmas, buddy? Same thing happened and they dropped soon after.


                                  #chill

                                    Supply and demand. 3rd grade social studies teaches wonders

                                    how much will keys be in real money if they would be 20 ref??

                                      Umm... what?

                                        $0.12 X 20 = $2.40

                                          We're not changing the real-money value for the keys, they already got up in price as a matter of fact the keys are 2.35€ in the in-game shop. We're changing the ref->key value.

                                          Won't the economy crash if keys are 20 ref? ;=;

                                          Anyways, upvoted, though I have a sense of foreboding...

                                            Please explain your thinking

                                              I've heard keys do this every Christmas, they'll probably go back down afterwards

                                                My thinking is that due to the inflation, no one will open crates anymore and the economy will gradually stop due to no more uncratings and maybe even cosmetic crafting. But Devoid, I think you're right.

                                                  Keys are 2.50 usd keys will continue to be 2.50 usd the majority of unboxers buy new keys from the Mann Co Store and unbox and even with increasing key price the eco has been fine as items with the recent updates were unboxed on a large scale and have dropped to a reasonable price. You know why because of the scm many people chase the goal of unboxing a rare item early on to be they only person with one and sell it for a very high price. So no these key prices will have no effect on unboxing. Valve aren't blind to the eco the resent updates have all used new keys.

                                                    What you have said is true, but after analysing the gun mettle and invasion unboxings, combined with the inflating key price, serious traders who unbox the crates in search for an unusual will know their facts, they would have a larger chance of losing profit than earning, so they probably would not use their hundreds of keys to uncrate anymore, therefore losing the majority of the source which stranges, hats, etc. come from. The invasion and gun mettle unboxings were mostly done by casual people trying out their luck (1-2 keys) and youtubers for entertainment (20+ keys). Soon, the economy will slow down due to a lack of influx of items. Convincing enough? :P

                                                      Well yes I have noticed that a higher majority of traders are using the steam community market because there is no one week trade lock and independent of the eco. But gun meddle has low metal and key trades as they weren't priced here as there are too many variables with the item. Really scm is dominating new items. I only use keys for buying stuff because most of the time it's cheaper.

                                                        It's true that gun mettle and invasion are mainly traded over scm, but as I said, less unboxings will occur, and the economy will slowly grind to a halt due to less items being produced. The scm prices are actually kind of close to bp.tf prices, and for skins not occuring in bp.tf, there are actually benchmark prices on scm.

                                                          Doesn't really seem so tho because really due to the change to why people unbox and mann co keys not being used for unboxing I mean the price of a key doesn't matter I mean with the recent updates the percentage of unboxers hasn't really changed due to there still Being a competitive market as prices of new common items being driven down

                                                            The price of a key does matter. If you were to unbox a crate using a key worth 18.66, compared to a key worth less than 10 ref (in the old days), the losses would be less if you unboxed, let's say a craft hat. This would spur traders to unbox due to the unusual they would unbox if they used hundreds of keys outweighing the total loss of unboxing the items worth less than a key.

                                                              No your not using mann co keys your using a new key that 2.50 usd for that update that's unpriced in metal the amount of people that buy new keys with metal or mann co keys is very small

                                                                When did this banter address the invasion & gun mettle key prices? Just wondering

                                                  Well, their price did go to 20 ref earlier this year (April to be exact), and that's no christmas, so we may be looking at something different

                                              Great proof/evidence.Upvote from me

                                                NOOOOOO 18 IS BAD PRICE BUT 19 PLSSS DONT BACK TO 16 KEYS

                                                  Steam user since 2015-02-14 oh you are a special individual

                                                    People like you are not enjoyed around here.


                                                    And by people like you, I mean people who make comments like this.

                                                    Good cheese, upvote

                                                      http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53fdee02b88d88d0518b4602

                                                      Mercenary weren't you told to never suggest again by Prof Sugarcube?

                                                        Upgoat, good proof.

                                                        besides everyone's selling them at 19 ref

                                                          Perhaps you should update this suggestion with more proof as more people are now buying at 19 ref.

                                                            The comments aren't as bad as I expected only one all caps idiot talking with his 'trading experience' and 'economic knowledge' nice range of proof and good amount of evidence upvote

                                                            Edit: #20refbeforeChristmas

                                                              Upvoted, sounds good. I'm just wondering if keys will go back to around 15 ref again or if the ref prices will drop after Christmas.