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Was sold not too long ago (few weeks) for flaming latern unusual hotties hoodie and 5 keys +sweets, proof with backpack history:
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103060345?time=1445929200 (has hottie hoodie + 5 keys (cant find which sweets sold))
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103060345?time=1446274800 (looses hottie hoodie and 5 keys, now has time warp little buddy)
Hmm. I think you may have a few details incorrect.
Looking at the buyer AND Seller's backpack, we can see a few sweets were added with the Buddy, namely a S.Cute Suit, a gold botkiller medigun and a Bills. The histories on the keys don't match either.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103060345?time=1445929200&compare=1446274800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055515547?time=1444633200&compare=1447142400
Moreover, the seller when he WAS selling had a B/O of 45: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26386025
So taking the Hoodie as 45, and assuming the buddy was offered (it probably was), 45 - 7 = 38.
Can't use your purchase because I used it to price the Head Full of Hot Air, so this is the only recent sale.
Please resuggest with this in mind, at 38.