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~37 keys
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Unusual Gentleman's Ushanka Blizzardy Storm
104 votes up
12 votes down
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"Defrosted Gentlemen"


~~~~ Requested by Mindacos ~~~~


The sales


Sale 1:


Sold for aussie wrench (~23)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27423921

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046022683?time=1447574400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046022683?time=1447660800 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046022683?time=1447660800&compare=1447574400


-> 23 keys


===============================================================================================


Sale 2:


knowing Relfektor this is probably SCM

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122209151?time=1442473200&compare=1447056000


===============================================================================================


it vanishes everywhere else


23 flat should work here

Theres essentially a seller for 25 keys here for 2 months:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26963083

Comments reveal he wants 10 for the ubersaw and 35 for both, which makes it 25 for the shanka.


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3

    It appears as though sweets were added with the wrench. Also histories don't match on neither the unusual nor the wrench?

      it was offered on the wrench as seen in the trade post. Histories probably dont match because the wrench was instantly resold. I cant relate the other items to the sale.

        Seeing as all of the previously mentioned sweets' histories match, I would resuggest at 24 (sweet's values added = ~1.5 keys X 0.9 + 23 = 24.35, rounded)

            Look through all the histories like I did

              well, the link above shows where the items went. idk what they were traded for, but they were not involved in this trade. Im honestly confused as to how you see them matching with anything in this sale

                Well, they were removed from the person's bp on the same day the wrench was removed and the unusual was added and the histories for ALL of them show that they were traded to the person the unusual came from. Typically, that would mean they were involved in the trade :')

                  It would indeed, but the thing is, they dont go to the person the unusual comes from. The hat comes from relfektor. None of the items go to reflektor. They go to that other french-named dude of whom I showed the profile 3 comments back.

                    And while that shows that I am incorrect in saying sweets were added :3, the histories still do not match

                      Reflektor presumably resold the wrench on the SCM afterwards, explaining why it does not show up in his backpack. Either that, or he resold it instantly.

                      http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014728963?time=1447574400&compare=1447660800


                      Knowing Reflektors trade style, it is likely that he sold it on the SCM.


                      Backpack histories sometimes dont scan a bp before the item leaves the backpack again, so if the histories dont match, it does not mean it cant have been the trade. For example, everything that sold between oct 6th and oct 30th will have mismatching histories since there was a huge bp downtime where scans failed to register anything with regards to showing up in item histories. Outpost histories give some insight there, but they too dont register everything. Since the link provided in the suggestion shows the previous owner of the wrench getting the ushanka offered, it is clear that in this case the sale happened as reported

                        Well, I'm sold!


                        All seems good then, upvote in that case! :')

                          heheh. Its good to see people digging through my suggestions, though. Its always better when someone reads/checks everything instead of blindvoting :P

                            Well said. Though it is annoying when you've spent the past hour making a chain of 20 suggestions and someone tells you you made a mistake in the sale that started the chain and it actually leads on to another chain of 30 xD

                              True, thats why I generally try not to rely on single-sale minis, but actually make the whole string, investigating all sales (even the ones that come up empty), on all hats involved, so that even when I missed something, the chances that it crucially affects my range or the whole string is minimal. It does happen at times, Ive had a few off-days a while back, where I made a lot of sloppy, easy-to-spot mistakes, but oddly enough I wasnt doing much chainwork there