"I'm right and the rest of the world is wrong" ------> People going nuts.

9 months outdated.

Sales

Sale 1

"Quick"sold for 40 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041057886?time=1444374000 (October 9th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041057886?time=1444719600 (October 13th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041057886?time=1444374000&compare=1444719600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27220336 --- No B/O

=======> 40 keys

==============================================================================================================

Sale 2

Sold for Spec. Ks. Aussie Sticky with parts (?) + Aussie Flamethrower (?) + Orbiting Fire Milkman (19.5 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027595046?time=1443596400 (September 30th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027595046?time=1443682800 (October 1st)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027595046?time=1443596400&compare=1443682800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27062055 --- B/O was 40 keys

----------------------------------------------------------------

Mini on the Spec. Ks. Aussie Sticky

Sticky was worth 16 keys at the time of the sale. The Spec. Ks. kit was worth somewhere around $3.50 (1.2-1.4 keys), so i'm going to take 16 flat.

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5601bc56b98d88ed578b456f

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Specialized%20Killstreak%20Stickybomb%20Launcher%20Kit

=======> 16 keys (without overpay given parts)

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Mini on the Aussie Flame

Flame was worth 15 keys at the time of the sale

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56131969dea9e9da354ac11d

=======> 15*0.95 = 14 keys

-----------------------------------------------------------------

=======> 16 + 14 + 19.5*0.9 = ~48 keys = Capped at 40 keys

==============================================================================================================

No more sales i could find.

Seller

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27272485 --- Seller for 43 keys for a month

Summary

- (Quick)sale for 40 keys, sale for 40 keys.

- Seller for 43 keys for more than a month.

Going with 40 keys flat as it seems like the common trading point. Two sales for that price, plus an unsold at 43 that supports the drop.

Criticism appreciated!