"Phantasmic"

Technically not outdated, yet SO off in value. Really needs an update

The sales

Sale 1:

Sold for pfetti fedora

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061405421?time=1448352000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061405421?time=1448611200 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061405421?time=1448352000&compare=1448611200

outdated

Sale 2:

Sold for ghosts bubble pipe (~40) + 2 keys in sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990986202?time=1447142400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990986202?time=1447228800 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990986202?time=1447142400&compare=1447228800

I tried updating the bubble, but meh:

"Sale 1:

that will be little under its buyout. How does this thing sell so well when theres buyouts at 50 for ages?"

This would give me a range of 32-50 (~40). 32 flat is too low since a seller declined 35 pure. 50 flat would be too high since theres sellers at 40. More sales are needed before the bubble can be done. for here, ~40 suffices.

0.9*42 = ~38

-> 38 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 35 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27046978 thats clear

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113941213?time=1443250800&compare=1443164400

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Sale 5:

2:1 for harvest doctors sack

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130802680?time=1447488000&compare=1447574400

Not usable. Mongol is outdated and sack is too (or should be by now)

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Sale 6:

CSGO

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27208991

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058490092?time=1445065200&compare=1445583600

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Sale 7:

Sold for vivid dragonborn

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038295627?time=1444287600&compare=1444374000

High end of db suggestion. Probably wrong since this aint no 51, but the sale provided in the comments may make up for it there.

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Sale 8:

Sold for c9 headsplitter:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197969363424?time=1443769200&compare=1443855600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998867160?time=1443855600&compare=1443769200

the splitter was sold for that gonzila, that is in-date at 33

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090952225?time=1443855600&compare=1443769200

I guess 33 is a tad low for the splitter, but as such, it supports the drop

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Sale 9:

Sold for puzzle sombrero (~35)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27403492

More info:

Quoting from Jarool

"Slick Cut Sale: (He/she offered)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27403492 - B/O of 36"

It was initially excluded from the sombrero suggestion, but with the provided buyout it was used as supportive there. It holds neither end there

0.9*35 = ~32

-> 32 keys

Sale 10:

QSed for 27

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27398111

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Sales at 32, 35 and 38 and a QS at 27. 32-38 should be much more realistic here. All sellers Ive seen have had buyouts below 51.

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3