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Recent Sales
Sale 1
I sold this to Fashionist for 35 keys:
http://imgur.com/sYpxrhQ
http://imgur.com/TrHuZgs
Sale 2
Took Fashionist a month but finally sold it for 40 keys
http://imgur.com/a/xUMdb
Both these sales seem like outliers to me
Sold for a C9 Danger
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016706143?time=1446796800&compare=1446883200
Your sale here, not sure what it was
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971174166?time=1446102000&compare=1446188400
Sold for some collector shit, the "cost to craft" for each works out at ~70
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197976440654?time=1444719600&compare=1444460400
Maybe use this hat to price this?
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197976440654?time=1444287600&compare=1444374000
Sold alongside a S. Hot FT Pink Elephant + a Burning Milkman for a GE Outta Sight + Searing Mining Light + Cyclone Shadenfreude
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047237459?time=1443423600&compare=1443596400
Sold alongside a Burning Milkman for a FT Energy Orb Purple Range
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047237459?time=1443337200&compare=1443423600
Both the sales you used to price this were either outliers or QS', these are all the other recent sales, you do the math :)
Do the math on what? Unpriced items and some SCM priced collector items?
Sale #1 Danger might need another drop.
Sale #2 That was his sale at 35 keys.
Sale #3 It was sold for the whoopie set as shown here: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/561d2e0bb98d880e4ecc1d23 used to price the whoopie cant be used here anyways. The lucky shot mini was based of an b/o that's still unsold, so its most likely too high at 43 keys, still supports this suggestion tho.
Sale#4 and 5 Don't even bother with those.