I rip it hardcore, like porno-flick bitches

I roll with groups of ghetto bastards with biscuits

Sale #1

No return on seller's side; paypal trade maybe?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012004403?time=1448438400&compare=1448611200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960352182?time=1448697600&compare=1448611200

Sale #2

Sold for a Duped Arcana Hustler's Hallmark (~113.5, mini below) + Sunbeams Tough Guy's Toque (~66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27477757 ~> "discounts will be given if you are paying with multiple unusuals" - gonna assume the Arcana Hallmark + Beams Toque were offered

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012004403?time=1448265600&compare=1448352000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007850070?time=1448352000&compare=1448265600

(113.5 + 66) * .9 = 162 keys

Duped Arcana Hallmark mini

Sold as a set w/ ~1.5 keys worth of items for 115 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27086348

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127314754?time=1443250800&compare=1443423600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002229482?time=1443337200&compare=1443423600

115 - 1.5 = 113.5 keys

Sale #3

Sold for a Duped Sunbeams Human Cannonball (~180, mini below) + Spellbound Bonk Leadwear (~41, mini below)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1448179200&compare=1448265600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007850070?time=1448179200&compare=1448265600

(180 + 41) * .9 = 199 keys

Duped Bems Cannonball mini

Sold for a Sunbeams Full Metal Drill Hat (~80) + Sunbeams Sergeant's Drill Hat (~120)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27216392

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007850070?time=1447574400&compare=1447488000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049171595?time=1447228800&compare=1447574400

(80 + 120) * .9 = 180 keys

Beams Full Metal Drill Hat micro

Sold for a Duped Harvest Moon Liquidator's Lid (~80, nano below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27343949

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061376237?time=1447142400&compare=1447228800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007850070?time=1447142400&compare=1447228800

= 80 keys

Duped Harvest Liquidator's nano

Sold for a Duped Harvest Moon Sergeant's Drill Hat (~60, pico below) + a Smoking Charmer's Chapeau (~20)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007850070?time=1447142400&compare=1447056000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1447142400&compare=1447056000

= 80 keys

Duped Harvest Moon Drill Hat pico

Sold for 60 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27352340

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138913274?time=1446361200&compare=1446451200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047860018?time=1446361200&compare=1446451200

Spellbound Leadwear mini

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/565c2ed7dea9e9396e7f7736 ~41 keys

Sale #4

Sold w/ a Strange Ether Trail Neptune's Nightmare for a Frostbite Merc's Mohawk ~> best to price the Mohawk with this; not using

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27465268

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1448179200&compare=1448092800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088964771?time=1448092800&compare=1448179200

Sale #5

Sold w ~9 keys worth of sweets for a Green Energy Blighted Beak (~118) + Miami Nights Killer Exclusive (~88)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088964771?time=1448092800&compare=1448006400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034816919?time=1448092800&compare=1448006400

((118 + 88) * .9) - 9 = 176 keys

Sale #6

Sold for a Disco Beat Down Pyromancer's Mask (~85.5) + Subatomic Phononaut (~96, mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27261338

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034816919?time=1445842800&compare=1445929200

(85.5 + 96) * .9 = 163 keys

Subatomic Phono mini

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5648445dba8d881a6ba94aa3 ~96 keys

Sale #7

Can't seem to trace; probably sold for pure (if it did, I can't count any :/) or paypal

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152878663?time=1448784000&compare=1448697600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960352182?time=1448784000&compare=1448888946

Sale #8

Sold for an Orbiting Fire Antlers (~110, was in date at the time of the trade) + 40 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27099904 ~> was looking for all-class hats; The Mohawk was presumably offered

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025022308?time=1444806000&compare=1444719600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071334162?time=1444719600&compare=1444806000

(110 * .9) + 40 = 139 keys

Sale #9

Sold for an Australium Minigun (~21 at the time) + Australium Ambassador (~16) + Purple Confetti Milkman (~15, mini below) + Stare From Beyond Armored Authority (~73) + Purple Energy Gentleman's Gatsby (~37.5) + Searing Plasma Trophy Belt (~22, mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27233838

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017911489?time=1445065200&compare=1444978800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071334162?time=1444978800&compare=1445065200

((15 + 73 + 37.5 + 22) * .9) + ((21 + 16) * .95) = 168 keys

P. Fetti Milkman mini

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27382039 - b/o: of 15 keys at 3 weeks

Searing Trophy Belt mini

Sold for 22 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27324948

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094179995?time=1448179200&compare=1448265600

Conclusion:

All right, let's rule out all of the untraceables first: Sale #1 and #7; can't use them obviously. Not using sale #4 as I think it's best suited to price the Frostbite Mohawk.

That leaves us with Sales #2-3, #5-6, and #8-9, which are 139, 162, 163, 168, 176 and 199. At first glance, it's pretty obvious to go with a range of 165-200. However, I was browsing the Outpost profiles of some of the current Searing Mohawk sellers and I found this: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26839705. Unsold at 3 months for 180 keys, relisted for 175 keys a week ago. With that evidence, we can safely rule out 199 keys as an outlier.

That leaves us with sales ranging from 139-176 keys. 139 doesn't seem too much of a stretch; however, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27099904 the seller's trade notes say that he was looking for all class hats. With that information, he might've overvalued the OF Antlers; so I'm gonna rule that out for now. Gonna go with a range of 165-175 keys.

Additional and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.

Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ﾉ