"Duck in a box"

Resuggesting, Thanks Polar for clarification!

The sales

Sale 1:

Sold for secret bubble (~235)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043624216?time=1446883200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043624216?time=1446969600 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043624216?time=1446883200&compare=1446969600

This seems way too high for me. Since it was in pure or items with pure minis, overpay should not be done here, but meh. 235 is not realistic for the boxcar.

Sale 2:

Sold for beams cowl (~100) + DaD spartan (~68)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016820211?time=1446015600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016820211?time=1446102000 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016820211?time=1446102000&compare=1446015600

0.9*(~100+68) = ~150

-> 150 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for miami C.otoK (~150) + gfetti hazmatten (~40) + ~1 in sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27218837

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115471878?time=1445151600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115471878?time=1445238000 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115471878?time=1445238000&compare=1445151600

Mini hazmatten:

No sales available. Going with 40 which should be close enough here

0.9*150+40 = ~170

-> 170 keys

Sale 4:

Offered on and sold for PE rotation (~190)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049054413?time=1442127600&compare=1442041200

Quoting Polar from the comment section on my previous suggestion:

"I know Oggun. Most of his trades are him offering on other people's trades. That was the case even before he was banned"

More info:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/565e73d9dea9e9ca2f7f76fb#comment-565f1088dea9e9b72f7f7785

It was also exchanged for that razor cut, which is or should be used for that price instead.

-> 190 keys

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Sales at 150, 170 and 190. it being offered on hats in the ~200 key region is an indication 235 will be on the high side. 150-190 should work here

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3